Gem Bet: Fulham v Man CIty
Harry Nye
Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.
💎 Nico O'Reilly - Over 0.5 Fouls Committed @ 1.72
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💎 Gem Bet: Nico O'Reilly - Over 0.5 Fouls Committed (@ Fulham)
Nico O’Reilly to commit at least one foul offers excellent value given his recent disciplinary trends and likely matchups. At 1.73 with bet365, it’s significantly higher than odds of 1.24 available elsewhere, where the implied probability of 80.6% better reflects his form and the matchup.
While O’Reilly’s season average of 0.8 fouls per 90 might seem modest, it doesn’t tell the full story. He’s committed at least one foul in seven of his last eight starts and picked up two yellow cards in his last three appearances, showing increased defensive involvement.
Still developing defensively, the youngster, O’Reilly often faces tough duels in wide areas. His likely opponent, Adama Traoré, is a challenging matchup also, drawing 1.63 fouls per 90 with his explosive dribbling and physicality. If Traoré doesn’t start, Harry Wilson offers an even trickier test, winning 1.78 fouls per 90 thanks to his sharp changes of direction and low centre of gravity.
The only caveat is whether he starts, but thanks to bet365’s substitute offer, the bet will be voided if he doesn't make the starting XI.
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