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Germany v Denmark
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Kick Off: Saturday 29th June at 20:00
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Watch Live: ITV1
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Competition: Euro 2024
The second match of the Euro 2024 knockout stage will be played in Dortmund on Saturday, with Germany taking on Denmark.
As the knockout stages get underway, our daily Euro 2024 betting tips return here on Andy’s Bet Club, including our favourite Germany v Denmark bet builder tips.
For every day of the tournament from now until the final, you can find a variety of Euro 2024 acca predictions and both teams to score tips, not to mention our favourite daily shot on target predictions and foul betting tips. All markets you can exploit with any of the best bet builder bookmakers, of which we have picked out the best ones to help make the most of your money this summer.
The value doesn’t stop there either, with our regularly updated collection of Euro 2024 free bets, while our football predictions include btts acca tips for this weekend.
The host nation have arguably been the pick of the big guns so far in the European Championship, yet they were very nearly shocked by Switzerland in their last match.
Denmark, meanwhile, drew all three of their group stage matches to progress, repeating the feat of Portugal in 2016. Fernando Santos’ side went all the way that year – can the Danes cause a seismic upset by doing the same?
Germany v Denmark Best Bets
Look for a physical battle at the heart of Germany’s defence, where Kai Havertz will tangle with Jannik Vestergaard. The latter is 1.57 to commit just a single foul or more, having given away a couple in each of his last two.
Similarly, keep an eye on Joakim Maehle, who will square up against the tricky Jamal Musiala. The wing back, who has committed fouls in two of his three appearances, is 1.67 to give away one more.
On the opposite flank, Alexander Bah is also of interesting value in this regard. Although he has not committed a foul in Euro 2024 to date, he averaged 1.18 fouls per 90 in the Portuguese league with Benfica and will go up against Maximilian Mittelstadt, who has won nine fouls in this competition – only one behind tournament-leader Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. Bah is 1.57 to commit a foul.
Meanwhile, corners are a probability given these sides have won 46 corners between them so far at Euro 2024 – an average of 7.67 each per match. Over 8.5 corners at 1.45 looks like a strong bet builder choice.
📂 Germany v Denmark Cheat Sheet
There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.
You can find Germany v Denmark match stats on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
📊 Germany Form and Stats
Germany’s winning start to Euro 2024 might have been ended by Switzerland in a 1-1 draw but they come into the knockouts with five wins and two starts in their last seven outings.
The point against the Swiss, which secured first place in Group A, was deserved. Germany created 1.6 xG compared to their opponents’ 0.6. It also continued a trend of Die Mannschaft winning that particular battle, which they have now done in all three of their matches in the competition.
With Jamal Musiala subdued for once – he had scored in both games before the Switzerland clash – it was Kai Havertz who produced much of their attacking threat. The Arsenal man had six shots but only one found the target. This was symptomatic of his team that evening as only three shots worked the keeper from the 18 they attempted.
Incidentally, Havertz now leads Germany in shots with nine, two clear of Ilkay Gundogan, who has only hit the target twice, and Leroy Sane, who has threatened regularly as an impact substitute. With 1.7 xG, Havertz has got himself into the most dangerous areas when shooting and is 2.88 with Paddy Power to score anytime.
In terms of shot-creating actions, Toni Kroos leads the way in terms of regulars with 6.90 per 90 minutes.
Germany will be missing their joint-most prolific fouler in Jonathan Tah, who sits on five. The centre back is banned after picking up his second booking of the tournament, yet he has looked a liability at times and Nico Schlotterbeck should be a reliable replacement.
Robert Andrich (five fouls), Antonio Rudiger (four fouls) and Maximilian Mittelstadt (three fouls) are one booking away from a ban, so it would be little surprise to see their aggression curtailed if Germany are comfortably leading. Kai Havertz, who is sitting on 2.17 fouls per 90, is coming off the Swiss match in which he did not give up a free kick.
Expect to see a little more edge from Germany in this game, though. Their progress was already secured when they faced Switzerland.
Meanwhile, no team at Euro 2024 has won more corners than Germany’s 25, which is matched by Portugal.
📊 Denmark Form and Stats
Denmark have progressed to the last 16 off the back of draws against Slovenia, England and Serbia. Their matches have typically been dull, with only one of their previous three clashes producing a total of more than 1.7 xG.
In total, Kasper Hjulmand’s side have created 3.2 xGF and have allowed 2.3 xGA. This has manifested itself in two goals for and two against.
What excitement Denmark have brought has typically come from the feet of Christian Eriksen. He has a team-high 10 shots and 0.9 xG. Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg has offered four shots on target – the only member of the squad to have more than two – but the midfielder’s efforts have typically been low-quality, with an xG per shot of just 0.03.
Rasmus Hojlund, meanwhile, has struggled to get into dangerous positions. Both his shots have been on target, but 0.87 shots per 90 from the Manchester United striker is a poor return.
Eriksen has 20 shot-creating actions, 12 more than anyone else in the squad. It should be noted, however, that 11 of those have come from set pieces.
Denmark, meanwhile, do not have a single player chalking up big numbers in the fouls market. What they do have instead is a string of players who are persistent low-level offenders. Five of their squad have committed four fouls, with another trio giving away three. Morten Hjulmand, it should be pointed out, is banned as a consequence.
Jannik Vestergaard has given away two free kicks in successive matches and is 3.75 to do so again. With a booking to his name, he runs the risk of suspension along with Jonas Wind, Christian Norgaard and Joakim Maehle.
Denmark averaged 7 corners per match through their opening three fixtures, winning more than their opponents in each fixture.
⚔️ Germany v Denmark Head-to-Head
Germany’s most recent meeting with Denmark was a friendly in June 2021 in the build-up to Euro 2020. It was a match that finished in a 1-1 draw. Florian Neuhaus scored the opener for the Germans, with Yussuf Poulsen replying.
The German scorer from that day is absent and Poulsen is likely to play a cameo at best, but the suppliers of both goals are likely to feature. Joshua Kimmich is expected to start for Germany, as is Christian Eriksen.
The only other meeting between these nations in the last decade was another friendly in June 2017, which also ended 1-1, Eriksen and Kimmich were the scorers on that occasion.
Three of the last four between these countries have finished as draws, with the exception being a 2-1 Germany win in Euro 2012 – the only competitive match since the Euro 1992 final, which was, of course, won by the Danes.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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