Germany have been in devastating form in the Nations League, winning four of their five games to establish themselves as the group’s class team. Even if they rotate for this match – something the local press does not believe that Julian Nagelsmann will do – they have excellent strength in depth.

Hungary might have scored two draws so far at home in the Nations League, yet they rode their luck dramatically against the Netherlands in their previous home fixture. In that game, they had only 26% possession and conceded an equaliser despite their opponents being down to ten men at the time.

The previous fixture between these sides was as one-sided as the 5-0 victory for Germany would suggest. They posted 4.25xG and conceded only 0.49xG.

Also met at Euro 2024, when Germany ran out 2-0 winners, although their performance on that occasion was not as emphatic.

Germany’s games have been high-scoring affairs when they have got themselves in order offensively. Four of their five matches have yielded at least three goals, largely because Julian Nagelsmann’s side have been so powerful offensively. This was exemplified in their 5-0 win over Hungary in September.

Germany have scored at least two goals in each of their two away matches and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road trip.

With nothing riding on this game, Hungary may be a little less defensive than is their habit, which is a stance that could encourage goals at both ends of the field.

Defensively, the Hungarians have struggled against the big guns in the group, conceding ten goals in three matches against Germany and the Netherlands.

Germany are expected to hold a significant degree of domination in this encounter, and that should lead to a handful of corners. This was the case when they beat Hungary 5-0 at home in September when they picked up four of these set-piece situations.

Have picked up at least four corners per game in each Nations League fixture with the exception of their matches against Bosnia, during which they only picked up a combined five corners. Had no such problems against the Netherlands.

Hungary have conceded at least four corners in four of their five previous matches in this competition. The exception was a home match against Bosnia that they dominated in terms of possession – something they certainly cannot count on doing against Germany in this clash. Only had 44% of the ball the last time these sides met.

Sane is set to be handed a starting berth after making a lively appearance off the bench against Bosnia at the weekend. The Bayern Munich man came on to play 33 minutes and managed to get on the scoresheet in that time. This was his first game time in the competition, in which he has 5.0 shots on target per 90 as a result.

Sane has at least one shot on target in each of his last six appearances for club and country, despite coming off the bench in four of these games. He has only started two fixtures this season but in each of these encounters, he has mustered at least two shots on goal.

This lack of game time should give Sane ample motivation to prove a point to his coaches for club and country, as well as provide a showcase for clubs that want to sign him as a free agent when his contract expires next summer.

Hungary have given up 29 shots on target across their five matches to date, showing that they are vulnerable defensively.

Szoboszlai is Hungary’s offensive powerhouse. The Liverpool midfielder leads his nation in terms of shots in the Nations League with 11, and while only three of these have hit the target, his sheer volume of efforts suggests that he can trouble Germany.

Across Hungary’s last 11 competitive international matches, he has had 14 shots on target. Has had at least one in seven of these fixtures.

Pushed forward into a more offensive role in the past couple of games. Instead of playing in the midfield, he has played just behind the centre-forward. The consequence has been that he has had three shots in each of these fixtures, with half of these finding the target.

Germany have conceded goals in each of their two away games, which suggests they will give shooting chances up to the visiting side.

Played the full 90 minutes in 20 of his last 21 internationals, including friendlies.

Rolland Sallai sits second in Hungary’s foul count in the Nations League, having picked up 11 across the five games he has played. This works out at 2.62 per 90.

Remarkably, all of these have come in the past three matches, suggesting that he has actively become more aggressive in his defensive stance since gaining full match fitness after a slow start to the season. This has also been the case at club level with Galatasaray.

Has committed six fouls in his last four games with his club, having committed only one in his first four outings of the season.

Germany’s defensive players tend to be among their best at drawing fouls – Joshua Kimmich, Antonio Rudiger and Nico Schlotterbeck all average more than 1 per 90 – and these are likely to be among the direct opponents of the attacking midfielder in this clash.

German media expect Musiala to start this game after being replaced before an hour had been played of the weekend’s clash against Bosnia – a game that he had already scored in.

Excellent record in previous match against Hungary. He scored one goal and set up three more the last time these sides met.

The 21-year-old has been consistently decisive for Germany for little over a year. He has a goal or an assist in eight of his last 14 starts for the national team. Since the start of Euro 2024, this has improved to a decisive contribution in five of eight (62.5%) outings. In two of the three games he has not had a hand in a goal, he has managed at least three shots, showing he is active in these fixtures.

Although there is nothing tangible riding on this match, Hungary are the type of niggling team that is liable to either pick up cards for their consistent fouls or cause the Germans to pick them up out of frustration.

Hungary have one of the highest foul counts in the entire Nations League, having committed 14.6 fouls per match. At the time of writing, this is the ninth-highest figure among all Nations League countries.

The home side’s matches have seen at least three cards in each of their last four fixtures, while that same statistic applies for Germany, whose last four matches have combined for 20 cards.

Referee Duja Strukan averages 5.4 cards per game across the ten matches he has officiated this season. Even allowing for one of these fixtures producing a staggering 13 cards, this still equates to 4.56 cards per match. A sprinkling of judicious cards in this game should ensure tensions don’t boil over if Hungary continue with their trend of committing many minor fouls.