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Germany v Hungary
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Kick Off: Saturday 7th September at 19:45
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Competition: Nations League
Germany return to action after their Euro 2024 quarter-final exit to eventual champions Spain in Stuttgart last July. Julian Nagelsmann’s side will kick off their Nations League campaign in Düsseldorf, marking the beginning of a new era for the German national team. Veterans Manuel Neuer, Toni Kroos, Ilkay Gundogan, and Thomas Müller have all retired from international duty following the Euros.
Their opponent on Saturday night is Hungary, a team they faced during the group stage earlier this summer. Hungary will be eager to bounce back after a disappointing Euro 2024 campaign, where they finished third in Group A and failed to advance to the knockout stages. Early losses to Switzerland and Germany meant their dramatic late win against Scotland wasn’t enough to secure progression.
Germany v Hungary Best Bets
Hungary have an impressive array of attacking talent, with Roland Sallai, Barnabas Varga, and Dominik Szoboszlai all boasting solid goalscoring records for their national team. Over their last ten matches, Hungary has averaged 5.2 shots on target, with games against strong opposition like Germany, Switzerland, and Turkey.
They’ve managed at least three shots on target in 90% of these games, and there is value in backing Hungary to have 3 or more shots on target at 1.67. Historically, Hungary have performed well against the Germans, registering at least three shots on target in their last four meetings since 2021. With Germany conceding three or more shots on target in three of their last four matches, the chances of Hungary hitting this mark again appear strong.
One player Hungary will need to be particularly cautious of is Arsenal forward Kai Havertz, who has started the season in fine form. The former Chelsea player has found the net in Arsenal’s matches against both Wolves and Brighton, in their opening three league games. Havertz has now established himself as Germany’s centre forward, leading the line in their nine matches in 2024.
Over the past 12 months, he has scored five times for the national team, making him a significant threat to Hungary’s defence. He had two shots on target against Hungary at Euro 2024 and scored a crucial equaliser against them in 2021, which suggests there’s strong value in Kai Havertz to score anytime in this match at 2.50.
📂 Germany v Hungary Cheat Sheet
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📊 Germany Form and Stats
With automatic qualification for Euro 2024 secured as hosts, Julian Nagelsmann’s Germany spent most of 2023 and 2024 playing international friendlies rather than competitive matches. During this period, they suffered defeats to Belgium, Poland, Colombia, Japan, Turkey, and Austria, which led many to dismiss Germany’s chances of winning Euro 2024.
However, despite their poor pre-tournament form, the Germans delivered a campaign to be proud of. They kicked off Euro 2024 with an emphatic 5-1 win over Scotland, followed by a solid 2-0 victory against Hungary.
Having already secured their place in the knockout stages, they drew 1-1 in their final group game, setting up a Last 16 clash with Denmark. Germany’s young attacking trio of Kai Havertz, Jamal Musiala, and Florian Wirtz proved too much for the Danes, with second half goals from Havertz and Musiala sealing their progression.
In the quarter-finals, Germany faced eventual champions Spain. Florian Wirtz dramatically equalised in the 89th-minute, sending the match to extra time. However, after a cagey extra period, Arsenal’s new signing Mikel Merino scored a heartbreaking 119th-minute winner, knocking Germany out of the tournament.
📊 Hungary Form and Stats
Hungary enjoyed a remarkable run of form, suffering just one defeat in 18 matches before losing to the Republic of Ireland in their Euro 2024 preparations. This run included impressive away victories against Germany and England, and after topping their qualification group unbeaten, Hungary were tipped by many pundits as a potential ‘dark horse.’
However, their Euro 2024 campaign got off to a disastrous start with a 3-1 defeat to Switzerland. Manager Marco Rossi openly admitted it was the most ashamed he’d been of his team in four years. With that loss, Hungary faced an uphill battle in the tournament.
Their next match against hosts Germany was always going to be tough, though they did have an equaliser controversially disallowed, marking their first competitive loss to Germany since the 1954 World Cup.
The final group stage match against Scotland became a knockout decider. Hungary thought they had clinched it deep into stoppage time when Kevin Csoboth netted a breakaway goal. However, Georgia’s surprise 2-0 win over Portugal saw Hungary drop to fifth in the third-place rankings, ultimately missing out on the knockout stages due to an inferior goal difference to Slovenia, ending Rossi’s men’s Euro 2024 journey.
⚔️ Germany v Hungary Head-to-Head
Surprisingly, Germany have a poor record against Hungary. Their 2-0 victory in Euro 2024 this past June was their first competitive win over Hungary since the 1954 World Cup.
Before this, the teams last faced off in the 2022/23 UEFA Nations League group stage. At the Puskas Arena, the match ended 1-1 after early goals from Zsolt Nagy and Jonas Hofmann in the opening 10 minutes. When Hungary visited the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig, they secured a 1-0 win thanks to a first-half strike from Adam Szalai.
The only other recent competitive encounter between these sides came during the postponed Euro 2020 Championship in 2021. Adam Szalai put Hungary ahead early, but Kai Havertz equalised in the second half. Just two minutes later, Andras Schafer restored Hungary’s lead before Leon Goretzka salvaged a 2-2 draw for Germany with a late equaliser six minutes from time.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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