Belgium have seen over 2.5 goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, with the exception being a 1-1 draw against North Macedonia.

That game should have produced a few more goals with a combined xG of 3.4 generated between the two sides. Belgium generated an xG of 2.11 on their own, so there is potential for Rudi Garcia’s side to cover this line on their own.

North Macedonia have been a surprise package in qualifying so far and currently sit top of this group, which also contains Belgium and Wales. They’ve scored 11 goals across their five matches (2.2 per game), which is a record only eclipsed by Belgium, who have netted 17 goals across their four qualifying matches (4.25 per game).

This is an important game for Belgium because Wales are still lurking with intent and are level on points with Rudi Garcia’s side, having played a game more than Belgium. I think we’ll see a similar game to the initial meeting between these sides, but will see an extra goal here, in line with the xG’s that both teams produced in the first meeting.

What would usually be a routine game for Germany has taken on extra importance following Germany’s defeat to Slovakia in their opening game of qualifying.

Nagelsmann’s side managed to bounce back from that 2-0 defeat with a 3-1 win over Northern Ireland, but there is still work to be done to ensure that Germany qualify from this group.

Luxembourg have lost both of their qualifying matches so far, seeing over 2.5 goals in one of these games, which was their 3-1 defeat to Northern Ireland. I’m confident that Germany will be able to cover this line on their own. They need a positive result, and goal difference could end up being crucial in this group with how it’s started, so Nagelsmann is likely to encourage his side to rack up the goals here.

Germany have seen over 2.5 goals in three of their last five matches, including their 3-1 win over Northern Ireland last time out. They also saw over this tally in Nations League games against Portugal and Italy before eventually being knocked out by France in the third-place playoff.

This division regularly produces goals, and that should continue to be the case here with Almere seeing over 2.5 goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions.

Vitesse’s seven matches have produced 24 goals with an equal split in goals scored and conceded (12-12). Almere’s matches have also been goal-heavy with 34 goals across their nine games so far (3.77 per game).

Neither side has managed to pull together a solid run of form at this early stage of the season, so both sides should be able to test each other. The most recent head-to-head clash between the sides saw BTTS as they played out a 1-1 draw in March last year.

I think we could see a slight increase in that goal tally this time around, with both sides showing a proficiency in front of goal at the moment.