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Martin Lukeman v Luke Littler Expert Tips & Predictions
A thrilling conclusion to this year’s Grand Slam of Darts is ahead of us tonight at the WV Active, Aldersley. Once again we have a final between two Luke’s although perhaps not the final pair we all expected.
Martin Lukeman will pit his wits against Luke Littler for the Eric Bristow Trophy and the £150,000 winner prize. After a successful afternoon across the two Semi-Finals, our expert has picked out some best bets for us to ponder.
Martin Lukeman will be hoping to follow in the footsteps of Mike De Decker and Ritchie Edhouse and become another underdog to win a PDC major. He can perhaps take more inspiration from Mike De Decker who he defeated World Champion and World Number One,
Luke Humphries in the World Grand Prix Final. The challenge for Lukeman is arguably tougher than that however as at least with the World Grand Prix, the double start format provides a bit of a leveller.
Our darts experts enjoyed an excellent 2024 PDC World Darts Championship, yielding over 20 units worth of profit. If you had backed all our tips at the tournament with £10, you’d have ended it with over £200 in profit – we also landed a three-fold PDC World Darts Championship outright at odds of 14/1.
Be sure to check out our 2024 Grand Slam of Darts Outright tips for some key information to aid your punting, as well as our favourite Grand Slam of Darts Underdogs.
Martin Lukeman v Luke Littlers Best Bets
🎯 Luke Littler to Average Over 103.5
📈 Odds: 1.83
Littler has been imperious form these past few weeks. In his last eleven matches he’s averaged 100+ in ten of them. Eight of these were higher than this mark of 103.50 so the fact this is available at the odds is quite surprising. It just seems to be the norm for him right now.
The odds to win the match suggest this could be a little one sided and the matches that he’s played in the aforementioned eleven which have a produced a wide margin scoreline, he’s averaged way higher. These include match averages of 110, 116, 110, 112, 107 and 105.
🎯 Luke Littler to Lead after the Fourth Leg
📈 Odds: 2.0
Trying to eek every little value there is out of this match is difficult, but this could be an angle to consider. Lukeman himself has admitted he’s a bit of a slow starter and he can ill afford that here. You just don’t see him mounting a comeback if he falls behind emphatically early on.
During this event ‘The Nuke’ has led at this stage of matches in three of the six and has only trailed once and that was against Gary Anderson. ‘Smash’ has trailed in three of his six matches including both his last two knockout games.
Looking at the bigger picture and the seasonal stats. Littler has manged to lead in 42% of his matches at that stage and you have to remember that includes the Premier League where he’s faced the best of the best.
Lukeman on the other hand is a little lower at 39% but he wouldn’t have faced the calibre of opponent Littler has on the whole.
🎯 Luke Littler (-8.5) Handicap
📈 Odds: 2.62
Four of the last five Grand Slam of Darts Finals have been routine successes for the eventual champion. Gerwyn Price beat Peter Wright 16-6 and 16-8 in 2019 and 2021 respectively. Michael Smith trounced Nathan Aspinall 16-5 in 2022 and Luke Humphries defeated Rob Cross 16-8 last year.
The match odds suggest that could be the case again this year and take Luke Littler to produce another landslide success in the final here. He walloped Jermaine Wattimena 16-2 in the Quarter-Final and whilst you can’t envisage a wide-margin success of that magnitude, you have to remember that he was actually in good form prior to that match with Littler.
‘The Nuke’ is also an extraordinary darts player so anything he does, is no surprise. Expect him to try and rubber stamp this tournament with a perfect conclusion.
🎯 Martin Lukeman to have the Highest Checkout
📈 Odds: 2.75
This is arguably a bit of a wild card in terms of ‘best bets’ for this final but you would imagine that if Lukeman is going to cause a huge upset or at least hang on to the coattails of Littler then some clutch finishing may be required.
‘Smash’ has actually registered the highest checkout in every game he’s played in this event so far and that run extends to his last eight matches if you go back to the qualifiers too. He also has a good record in this aspect over the course of the season where he’s had the higher checkout in 55% of the matches he’s played.
Littler on the other hand has only managed to have the highest checkout in three of his six matches in this years Grand Slam of Darts, which is a bit surprising given how one-sided some of his successes have been.
You’re in the right place for Darts Predictions, as Andy’s Bet Club is all over the biggest darting tournaments throughout the year, with outright tips and accumulators to follow us in on. Our Darts Free Bets piece may be of use to you for the Grand Slam’s opening weekend.
If darts punting isn’t so much your thing, however, we also have plenty of Football Betting Tips and Bet Builder Stats alongside tips for a range of other sports. Our handy Cheat Sheet Guide is a great place to start discovering the value we provide here on Andy’s Bet Club.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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