Bergvall has been Tottenham’s most prolific fouler this season when considering only players with 5 or more starts. He’s averaged 2.29 fouls committed per 90 across all competitions and it’s some surprise he’s been priced as generously as this.

To date, the midfielder has made 12 appearances lasting at least half an hour, remarkably committing at least 1 foul in all 12. In the Europa League, Bergvall has averaged 2.80 fouls per game.

Amongst others, Bergvall is likely to be in direct competition with Dennis Geiger who boasts an impressive average of 1.57 fouls won per 90.

Tottenham’s games have been entertaining this season, with matches involving them producing an average of 3.50 goals scored. Just 6 of their 22 league games have seen under 3 goals, with 4/6 hitting the threshold in the Europa League.

Hoffenheim’s clashes in the Bundesliga have been on a similar level, with either net rippling 3.22 times per game on average. Their last 2 games alone have produced 9 goals.

Moerstedt only has 7.2 90s to his name this season but in that time he’s given us more than enough evidence to suggest he’s an asset in the fouls-drawn market.

Moerstedt has drawn at least 1 foul in all 8 performances lasting half an hour or more. Across those games, he started just 5 but has certainly made his impact when given the opportunity, winning a total of 9 fouls across the 5.

In the Bundesliga, he’s averaged 2.19 fouls won per 90, with this figure rising to 2.31 when considering games in the Europa League. When you add cup games to this tally, he reaches an average of 2.36 per 90 which is comfortably the most of any Hoffenheim player.

We’ve backed the aforementioned Max Moerstedt once more but this time in the fouls-commited market. It’s no surprise he features heavily in fouls-related areas given the forward has averaged over 15 duels per game in the Bundesliga. In the Europa League, he holds this average constant but crucially his duel win rate falls from 52.1% to 36.6%.

The young German forward has averaged a more than impressive 2.22 fouls per 90 minutes across all competitions, sinning at least once in all 5 starts, during which he’s been penalised a total of 9 times. He’s played a further 2 games lasting 45+ minutes off the bench, sinning twice in each.

Additionally, given Tottenham’s style of play, Moerstedt is likely to be tasked with a significant amount of defending, something he’s not the most adept towards.

There’s no avoiding the fact that Tottenham have been pretty terrible this season, and in this selection, we’re relying on them to reverse their dire form of late. That said, they should have significantly more quality than Hoffenheim who’ve similarly been struggling in the league, and given the importance of this match you’d have to back them to pull it out the bag.

Their opponents have won just 1 match in their last 10, losing 6 and managing 3 draws. In the Europa League, they haven’t recorded a win since the 2nd matchweek against Dynamo Kyiv, most recently playing out a 0-0 stalemate against Romanian outfit, FCSB.

Arthur Chaves is a player likely to be found guilty of committing multiple fouls, as evidenced by his average of 1.50 per 90 minutes across all competitions.

He’s sinned at least once in 14 of his 15 starts to date, only failing to do so as Hoffenheim played out a 0-0 stalemate against Augsburg. That said, in recent matches, Chaves has seemingly upped his game, sinning at least twice in 7 of his most recent 9 clashes.

Brazilian compatriot, Richarlison, will likely be the player who causes Chaves the most issues. Although he’s had his difficulties in front of goal, Richarlison is nonetheless averaging 1.92 fouls drawn per 90 across all competitions, albeit with limited game-time to his name.

Perhaps the best value of the evening can be found in the corner market, specifically backing Tottenham to win more than Hoffenheim.

The London outfit have averaged 7.77 corners won per game in their league matches, significantly outmatching the 5.64 they’ve conceded on average. They’ve won at least 5 in 9 of their most recent 10 league games, falling just 1 short as they took on Arsenal at the Emirates. Across the entire season, they’ve hit the mark in 19 out of 22 attempts.

Hoffenheim, by contrast, have won a mere average of 4.78 corners per game in the Bundesliga and conceded 5.89. They’ve accumulated no more than 8 corners across their last 3.

Kulusevski’s average of 0.80 shots on goal per 90 merits intrigue but doesn’t quite capture his full value here, possibly given the number of games he’s played out occupying a role somewhere between a winger and centre-mid.

On this occasion, he’s expected to play as a more of an out-and-out winger, as he has in each of his last 3 all of which have yielded at least 1 shot on target for the Swede.

Hoffenheim have been far from watertight defensively, conceding an average of 5.17 shots on target per game in the Bundesliga. If Tottenham amass a similar number of opportunities, it’d be a surprise if Kulusevski isn’t among the chances, particularly given the relative inexperience of the XI they’re likely to field.