Hull v Coventry

Both clubs have seen a positive response to a change of manager this season but Hull's survival in the Championship is not yet confirmed and neither is Coventry’s top six berth. Much is on the line at the MKM Stadium on Monday night.

⭐ Hull v Coventry Best Bet

➡️ Coventry Draw No Bet @ 1.91 on bet365
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Hull City come into this match with the worst home record in the Championship. They have earned only 19 points from their 20 fixtures at the MKM, with only four wins all season long.

Whilst Coventry lost their last two away matches, one of those was at Sheffield United, and the other was at Derby, both matches were actually fairly even in the xG battle. Prior to the Derby defeat, Coventry had won four away matches in a row, including at Blackburn, Swansea, Sheffield Wednesday, and Oxford, all teams ranked higher than Hull. Overall, Coventry’s away form is a perfectly respectable ninth in the Championship.

Home advantage sees Hull priced up as favourites in this match, the data and season records would suggest that home advantage is something of a misnomer here, and the fact that Coventry are outsiders should be taken. The angle we suggest is to take Coventry on the Draw No Bet market at 1.91.

👕 Hull v Coventry Predicted XI

🔍 Hull v Coventry Players to Watch

⚫ Sean McLoughlin

Ever since Ruben Selles arrived at Hull, he has liked Sean McLaughlin, usually a central defender, as a left-back. The difference in his attacking data from that change is stark.

McLoughlin now averages 1.01 shots per 90 this season in the Championship, 1.2 per 90 at home, and 1.33 in Hull’s last 10 matches. He took five shots in Hull’s last match as well, yet he is still odds against for a single shot in this match.

➡️ Sean McLoughlin to have 1+ Shots @ 2.25 on bet365 ↔️
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⚪ Haji Wright

The big US international forward has now started the last five matches for Coventry and has been moved into a more central position by Frank Lampard. The result has been four goals in five starts and seven shots on target. He has taken at least one shot in every start.

➡️ Haji Wright to have 1+ Shots on Target @ 1.50 on bet365 ↔️
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⚪ Bobby Thomas

Thomas is one of the hottest defenders around for attacking contributions at the moment. He has hit seven shots in his last two matches, at least one shot in eight of his last ten matches, and an average of 2.1 shots per 90 over Coventry’s last ten matches, the same average as Haji Wright.

➡️ Bobby Thomas to have 2+ Shots @ 2.75 on bet365 ↔️
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📂 Hull v Coventry Cheat Sheet

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💻 Hull v Coventry Form and Tactics

The results at the weekend were very much in Hull’s favour. They remained two points outside of the relegation zone having watched Cardiff and Luton fall to defeat at home. Plymouth winning did make matters a touch more complicated, but Hull could move up to 18th and five points from the drop with a win here.

The issue with that is that they are a bit inconsistent, especially at home. Selles might’ve thought he has conquered the issue with wins against Plymouth and Oxford, but defeat to Luton last time returned those bad home vibes. Two wins, two draws, and two defeats in their last six sums up Hull this season. Scoring goals has been the key problem, averaging less than a goal per game all season.

Selles has Hull playing in a 4-2-3-1 system, but with quite a lot of rotation in the front four. More important than upfield positions to Selles is the structure of two holding midfielders in front of a back four, the front players tend to play narrow to interchange. Joe Gelhardt, Gustavo Puerta, Matt Crooks, and Kasey Palmer have all had starts in the #10 position under Selles.

Coventry are likely to match Hull up in either a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 shape. Jack Rudoni could be key to the formation, if he starts it is likely to be just off a central striker, though he does have the tactical flexibility to play in the midfield three. Tatsu Sakamoto will play on the right of the attack, with Ephron Mason-Clark likely to play on the left, with Haji Wright currently preferred in the middle over Ellis Simms. This has the potential to change during the match though.

Coventry are coming into this with the chance to put five points between themselves and seventh-place West Brom. A five-match winning streak has given way to three defeats in five since, and with West Brom coming up in their next match after this one, Coventry would very much like to back up their last-minute winner against Portsmouth last time out.

Wilder could change personnel, but the 4-2-3-1 is likely to stay for this game.

🏁 Hull v Coventry Ref Watch

• Referee: Andrew Kitchen

  Fouls	Yellow Cards	Red Cards
  25.17	3.61	0.04

• Stats are on a per 90 basis and are taken from 2024/25 Championship games (23 total).

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.