Backing Inter Milan’s goalkeeper to make 1+ saves against Red Star Belgrade is a sensible choice with the bookies seemingly underestimating the attacking threat Red Star may pose.

Across their three Champions League matches so far (2 in qualifying), they have forced the opposition keeper into nine saves, including at least one in each. It was the same story in their last UCL campaign despite playing six matches including two against Manchester City; in fact, in all bar one game, they forced 3+ saves.

As for Inter, Sommer has made at least one save in each of their seven games this season, averaging over 3 per match. Last season, this selection was a winner in 35/38 league games and 7/8 in the Champions League.

Along similar lines, we also predict the Red Star Belgrade keeper to have a busy night.

Inter Milan have forced the opposition keeper into making three or more saves in each of the last three games. Two of those were against AC Milan and Manchester City who one would expect to be a lot more defensively sound compared to Red Star Belgrade.

To find other teams with a comparable attacking threat to Inter we have to look back at Red Star’s last Champions League campaign, which certainly suggests that three saves is far from unassailable. Over the course of the tournament, they averaged over 5 saves, in addition to the 2.5 goals conceded, per 90.

Although Inter haven’t had the most straightforward of campaign starts, they’ve still demonstrated enough quality to suggest a two-goal winning margin is well within reach here.

In the league, Inter have scored 11 goals while conceding just 3 from open play, arguably contesting with teams considerably stronger than Red Star Belgrade.

This season hasn’t been a one-off by any means for the Nerazzurri who won exactly half of their league matches by 2 or more goals last year, and nine by a margin of four or more. Some of the most impressive included a 5-1 thumping of Milan, 3-0 wins against Lazio and Napoli, and the 4-0 demolition of Atalanta ( a feat they’ve already repeated this season).

Thuram has gotten off to a very fast start this season, scoring four goals and notably drawing nine fouls, contributing to a 1.62 per 90 average.

That’s pretty much in line with what we’ve come to expect from the French forward who averaged 1.5 fouls drawn per game last season including at least one in 80% of his games (60+ mins).

Inter are likely to dominate the ball and frustrate Red Star Belgrade who are used to overwhelming significantly weaker sides in the Serbian SuperLiga. They’ve committed 12+ fouls in each of their three Champions League matches this season and their toughest challenge awaits as they travel to the San Siro.

It took Lautaro Martinez a while to grow into the season, possibly given Argentina’s long road to the Copa America trophy but he looks back to his best and ready to be a thorn in the side of Red Star Belgrade.

The Inter star scored a brace last time out against Udinese and was clearly brimming with confidence, before and after his goals. Inzaghi went on to take him off which hopefully indicates he’ll start this clash.

The Serie A and Copa America Golden Boot winner scored 24 league goals last season, averaging 0.81 per game. He’s also on penalties and will surely fancy his chances at getting ahead in the race for top UCL goal scorer.