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Inter v RB Leipzig
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Kick Off: Tuesday 26th November at 20:00
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Competition: UEFA Champions League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 5
Inter host RB Leipzig in the hope of continuing their impressive Champions League form at home which sees them undefeated in 11 games, winning nine at the San Siro. RB Leipzig, who are yet to pick up a point in their UCL campaign, will certainly have a lot to do.
⭐ Inter v RB Leipzig Best Bets
No player in Serie A with at least three starts to his name has committed more fouls per 90 minutes than Dumfries, who averages an impressive to day the least 3.41.
Across all competitions for both club and country, Dumfries has committed at least two fouls in 10 of his last 13 starts. This selection has hit in six of his seven starts this season for Inter exclusively.
In the Champions League, the Dutchman has also been consistent, committing 12 fouls across three starts, including four in his most recent outing against Arsenal. He’s likely to face Antonio Nusa, who has drawn 1.69 fouls per 90 in the Bundesliga this season.
👕 Inter v RB Leipzig Predicted XI
🔍 Inter v RB Leipzig Players to Watch
⚪ Christoph Baumgartner
Baumgartner has averaged 2.17 shots per 90 minutes in the Bundesliga, a figure only Sesko and Openda can better. Across both club and international matches, he has recorded at least two shots in each of his last five appearances.
Although in the Champions League, Inter have been effective at keeping shots on target to a minimum, this has been far from the case in terms of shots, allowing an average of 18.25 per game over their four matches.
🔵 Alessandro Bastoni
Although Bastoni has been a dependable centre-back for Inter, he has shown a growing tendency to commit fouls this season, averaging 1.65 fouls per 90 minutes in Serie A. The trend continues in the Champions League, where he has been penalised five times in just two matches.
Overall, Bastoni has committed at least one foul in 13 of his 14 starts for Inter this season, with the only exception being a game against Hellas Verona, where he was subbed off early.
He is set to face Lois Openda, who has been drawing fouls at an impressive rate of 2.87 per 90 minutes in the Bundesliga this season.
⚪ Lois Openda
Openda’s average of 1.58 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Bundesliga is among the league’s best, and it’s no surprise given his consistency. Last season, he averaged 2.05 shots on target, and the season before, 1.81 in Ligue 1. In 12 domestic appearances this season, he has hit the target in all-bar-one game.
While Inter’s defence has been solid overall, they’ve shown a tendency for momentary lapses late in matches. Openda, who has yet to be subbed off before the 80th minute and often completes the full 90, will be well-positioned to capitalize on any slip-ups.
📂 Inter v RB Leipzig Cheat Sheet
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💻 Inter v RB Leipzig Form and Tactics
Looking at the sides’ respective form in the Champions League form, it’s almost as polarised as it can get, with Inter undefeated in 5th position, as opposed to RB Leipzig who remain pointless fifth from bottom.
The hosts will set up in a 3-5-2 with a major emphasis on positional fluidity and rotations. Inzaghi demands that all his players are comfortable in all phases of play, with his centre-backs and centre-mids often exchanging positions such that their transitional play is not disrupted by the need to ‘shape up’.
Consequently, football intelligence is a huge component of his setup given the rotations are largely flexible and situation-dependent rather than the well-drilled ones you might expect from a Pep Guardiola side.
Inter come into this game undefeated in 11, having won 9 of those games including clashes with Roma and Arsenal. It’s a different story for Leipzig who have won just 5 out of their last 14, picking up a single point across their last four in all competitions.
Marco Rose’s side are expected to set up in a 4-2-2-2 although they have also been known to operate with a 3-4-3 at times this season. In all likelihood, they’ll spend the majority of this match without the ball, during which times their wide players will sit back and help defend, although pressing is still an important feature of their game.
Although they’ve only conceded 9 goals (the second-fewest in the Bundesliga), that figure could be misleading given they’ve actually allowed a huge 19.01xGA.
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🏁 Inter v RB Leipzig Ref Watch
- Referee: Joao Pinheiro
- Over the course of his career, Joao Pinheiro has been far from forgiving, averaging a huge 29.79 fouls per 90.
- His games have also produced an average of 4.43 yellow cards and 0.36 penalties.
- That said he hasn’t come close to replicating these figures in the 9 games he’s refereed this season, averaging 23.89 fouls and 4.33 yellow cards.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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