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Katie Taylor v Amanda Serrano Betting Tips & Prediction

Katie Taylor v Amanda Serrano Betting Tips & Prediction

Friday 11 July, 20253 min read
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The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

Back our 7/1 Katie Taylor v Amanda Serrano Boosted Double on Paddy Power

🥊 Taylor to be Knocked Down & Serrano to Win by Decision/Technical Decision

For those willing to push for a more creative narrative, consider looking for odds on Serrano to score a Knockdown and Win the Decision. If Serrano can be precise and use Taylor’s forward momentum against her, and if – that's two big IFS – Taylor really is in decline, she may be able to force a knockdown either early when Serrano’s power is freshest or later when Taylor’s fatigue grows.

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A £10 stake returns £80 if the double lands. If you don't yet have a Paddy Power account, you can sign up using their Exclusive New Customer Offer below. If Taylor wins, you'll activate £50 in free bets to use.

New Customer Offer. Max Stake £1. Winnings paid in cash at normal odds and are topped up to the enhanced price in Free Bets. Free bets are valid for 7 days, only deposits with cards and Apple Pay are eligible. Qualifying bet excludes multiples & in-play bets. T&C's apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. AD.


Early Saturday morning, in one of boxing’s oldest and most storied colosseums, Madison Square Garden, New York, Katie Taylor will meet Amanda Serrano for the third and probably final time. It is a venue dripping in history – from LaMotta versus Robinson, Louis and Marciano to Lewis and Holyfield and the fight of the century, Ali versus Frazier in 1971 – ‘The Garden’ has seen it all. 

The trilogy bout between the two veterans is likely to confirm their own place alongside those illustrious pairings. Taylor and Serrano first boxed in 2022 in a fight widely considered one of the greatest contests in women’s boxing history at this same venue, and their rematch in late 2024 was equally compelling and ferociously fought. A ferocity that made this trilogy bout inevitable and hotly anticipated.

Markets are available for those looking to profit from the action and the fight, promoted by Jake Paul’s MVP Promotions, will be freely available to Netflix subscribers.


Katie Taylor v Amanda Serrano

📅

When: Saturday 12th July

📍

Where: New York, NY, USA

Time: 04:00

📺

Watch Live: Netflix


🥊 Tale of the Tape

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Katie Taylor v Amanda Serrano Best Bets & Predictions 

🥊 Amanda Serrano to Win by Decision

  • Katie Taylor v Amanda Serrano
  • 04:00
1 Selections @ 1.91

Amanda Serrano to Win by Decision

The safer pick is to back Serrano to finally secure a victory; many made the argument for her in their first two fights. At 4/6, Serrano to win Outright, the odds are meagre, it is a surprise to see such confidence in her prospects given those two defeats previously. Instinctively, betting against Taylor is hard to do. I was ringside for her debut and even then, she had an aura of invincibility.

A dedicated professional, she will box with her characteristic intensity, but I sense Serrano may just have developed into the weight a little more and perhaps be the fresher of the two. Taylor is close to 40 and has been in wars for a long time. Being dedicated doesn’t stop the ageing process. Father Time comes for everyone.

A Serrano pick on Decision improves the return to 20/21.

Paddy Power
A £10 bet on this returns £19.09 if it wins.
Load bet @ 1.91
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New Customer Offer. Max Stake £1. Winnings paid in cash at normal odds and are topped up to the enhanced price in Free Bets. Free bets are valid for 7 days, only deposits with cards and Apple Pay are eligible. Qualifying bet excludes multiples & in-play bets. T&C's apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. AD.


🥊 Fight Result - Draw

  • Katie Taylor v Amanda Serrano
  • 04:00
1 Selections @ 13.00

Fight Result - Draw

In their previous two bouts the margins were very tight – 95-94,95-94,95-94 in November – and the point deduction Taylor suffered for a headbutt in the 8th adding to many spectators feeling Serrano deserved the decision. It is this narrowness of margins, this equality that the greatness of their rivalry is forged. The sense Serrano is ‘owed’ a decision does enter considerations too.

But a bet to contemplate in this bout, perhaps more than any other given that equality, is the Draw at 16/1. In a 10-round bout, with low prospect of knockdowns to disrupt scorecards, judges arriving at a 5-5 verdict is entirely plausible. 

Paddy Power
A £10 bet on this returns £130.00 if it wins.
Load bet @ 13.00
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At stake is a prize worth more than the purse or the IBF, WBC, WBO, and IBO belts Taylor will be seeking to hold on to. Should Taylor win against Serrano, for the third time following two ‘razor’ thin decision victories, she will confirm dominance, however marginal, over her greatest rival and take her place as the greatest female fighter of her generation. Clarissa Shields may argue to the contrary but Taylor’s level of opposition in the lower weights has been tougher than her American contemporary.

When the last bell is tolled on their respective careers, Taylor and Serrano’s names will live long in the minds of those who saw their bouts, and such was their intensity that their names, like Ali and Frazier before them, will be eternally connected.

Bookmakers have installed the 36-year-old Serrano, 47-3-1 (31), as the 4/6 favourite for the bout – incongruous with the two victories Taylor boasts, but perhaps reflective of perceived decline in Taylor over a sequence of fights. Now 39, Taylor’s relentlessly aggressive style is hard to sustain as the years and rounds pass. She has been in a series of tough, long fights and accumulated 214 rounds in half the number of bouts Serrano has boxed 246 rounds in. It is Taylor’s refreshing insistence on meaningful opponents that has drawn her to more punishing battles. Coupled with a lack of knockout power and the shorter two-minute rounds that reduce the potential of stoppages, Taylor has prevailed in a lot of attritional contests.

Her record of 24-1 (6) illustrates the point. Despite her brilliance and high output style, she rarely succeeds in stopping her opponents and therefore travels the full distance more often than most elite fighters. A desire to entertain also ensures her aggressive, pressuring style is always deployed. She is a better boxer than she ever affords herself the opportunity to be. As a result, she is hit and has perhaps become more hittable as her youth has faded. Over time, that willingness to take shots to land her own carries a price. In victory and defeat to Chantelle Cameron and in flattering moments in other fights, there has been evidence of some of Taylor’s zeal and energy having been lost along the way.


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