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Leeds v Blackburn Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Leeds v Blackburn Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 12 April, 20243 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

Leeds v Blackburn

📅
Kick Off: Saturday 13th April at 12:30
🏆
Competition: Championship
📺
Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event

As ever here on Andy's Bet Club we have a variety of EFL betting predictions and EFL accumulator tips sitting alongside our collection of expert football tips and our brand new both teams to score acca tips from the Premier League, Scotland and the rest of Europe.

Before you place your bets though, make sure you browse our carefully curated selection of free bets and all of the best bet builder bookmaker sites to make your money work for you. Those of you who enjoy placing a bet builder may also want to check out our handy guide to player fouls betting to help you do just that.

Leeds are having something of a wobble, thankfully for them, both Leicester and Ipswich are doing their best to give them a chance to get the job done in terms of winning promotion to the Premier League at the first time of asking.

This match isn’t simply about Leeds and promotion though, Blackburn are involved in a real battle to stay in the Championship. Even though they are positioned in 18th, four places above the drop zone, the gap is only three points. This is a tough test for Rovers, but they know that they could need something here to remain clear of the relegation zone this weekend.

Leeds will be aware of how Leicester have done in the Friday night game by the time this kicks off, either way though, the pressure will be on. They were lacklustre in the midweek match against Sunderland, and, although this is a tight turnaround, they remain at home, whereas Rovers are travelling again.

Daniel Farke has experienced promotion out of this league twice in the last few years with Norwich, though on both occasions the promotion was already sewn up by this stage of the season.

By looking into the season-long, and more recent trends and data, we have come up with a few angles that may be of interest ahead of this televised encounter.

Leeds v Blackburn Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets, and we encourage you to find your own methods for helping you pick a winning bet builder, however, if you're unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.

You can find Leeds v Blackburn match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

🏆 Match stats: Blackburn change clear in the Eustace era

It is difficult not to feel a bit stung by Leeds after their last home match. The data heavily favoured them to win against Sunderland, and the performance on the night did not back that up. However, that could’ve just been an off night for many reasons, and there is a chance that Blackburn cannot put up the same resistance that Sunderland were able to. This may sound faintly ridiculous after Blackburn demolished Sunderland away from home two weeks ago, but the more evidence that can be seen, the more that result at the Stadium of Light looks like the anomaly. Leeds are unbeaten at home all season, have the highest xG created in the league, and the lowest xG against as well. Blackburn, meanwhile, are the walking poster boy for the effect that a manager can have on a team’s performances. With the same set of players, Jon Dahl Tomasson had Blackburn as one of the most exciting attacking teams in the league, but also one of the loosest defensive records. They would win or lose matches, but under John Eustace, roughly the same ratio of expected points have been earned but from a much tighter ship. Rovers are now lower-mid table for chances created and conceded. This will, in all likelihood, not cut the mustard against Leeds. The best defence in the league is unlikely to give up the same sort of chances that Sunderland did for Rovers, and there doesn’t appear to be the same spark to create on their own.

Predictions:

⚽ Leeds to win @ 1.30

⚽ Leeds (-1 handicap) @ 1.91

🎯 Shooting stats: Summerville the most likely to have a shot on target

It is a measure of how poorly Leeds performed on Wednesday night that they mustered only one shot on target all match, more on this later.

 Surely it will have been drilled into the team in the last couple of days to change this ahead of this match.

Therefore, looking at the data, it has to be Crysencio Summerville that is trusted again. Some big European teams are reported to be looking at the young Dutchman this summer, and he is still the main man in terms of time on the pitch and shots on target per 90 for the Whites. He is likely to get a bit more joy against Callum Brittain and Dom Hyam, at least according to their performances in the week, so he should be trusted in your bet builder.

The only Leeds player to achieve a shot on target against Sunderland was Joe Rodon. The Welsh central defender hasn’t scored for Leeds, indeed, he hasn’t scored in English football in 137 career appearances, but he does have two shots on target in his last two matches. He also has 1.8 xG to his name this season, so that goal should have come by now.

Predictions:

⚽ Crysencio Summerville to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.25

⚽ Crysencio Summerville to have 2+ shots on target @ 2.25

⚽ Joe Rodon to have 1+ shots on target @ 5.50

🚩 Corners stats: Leeds corner lines to be supported

Leeds won the corners battle against Sunderland. It was always likely given the gamestate of 0-0 until the end, but something similar could happen here. Leeds ended up winning the corner count 13-2 on Wednesday, other recent home matches have seen the Whites win the corner count: 4-3 v Hull, 13-2 v Millwall, 8-2 v Stoke, and 5-3 v Rotherham. Also, during that time, they lost it 5-2 to Leicester, but against inferior opposition Leeds have either been ridiculously dominant, or edged a closer corner count. Blackburn are not one of the competition’s strongest corner teams away from home. They concede over 7 corners per away game, while only Plymouth concede a higher average away from home than Rovers. All this evidence supports backing Leeds, despite their short price, in the corner market, and also backing the overs lines for the home team.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 6.5 Leeds corners @ 1.65

🛑 Fouls stats: Blackburn to become victims of Leeds’ dribblers

The tactic of looking for players to foul Georginio Rutter worked pretty well against Sunderland as the young Frenchman was fouled four times in the game, and Pierre Ekwah was one of those who fouled Rutter. For Blackburn, Sondre Tronstad has committed the most fouls for them this season, and had two in midweek against Bristol City. He is the one who sits in front of the defence and will be there in and around Rutter if the FrencHman comes deep for the ball. John Buckley could get a start in midfield after he came on at half time on Wednesday, and if he did, then he is worth a bet for at least one foul as well, probably two. The final Blackburn player to mention is Harry Pickering. One suspects that John Eustace could revert to a back five in this fixture, especially given what happened on Wednesday, and this could see Pickering installed on the left of a back three, not a regular position for him. He has actually conceded two fouls in his last two matches, and in 11 of his last 13 matches so seems very generously priced in this market.

Predictions:

⚽ Sondre Tronstad to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.75

⚽ John Buckley to commit 2+ fouls @ 2.20

⚽ Harry Pickering to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.87

⚽ Harry Pickering to commit 2+ fouls @ 5.0

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