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Lille v Borussia Dortmund
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Kick Off: Wednesday 12th March at 17:45
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Competition: Champions League
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What TV Channel: TNT Sports 4
In what could be a tricky match to call, Lille host Dortmund, with both sides aiming for a spot in the Champions League quarter-finals.
The last leg was a cagey affair, resulting in a 1-1 draw with minimal chances created, which is atypical of Dortmund’s matches this season but perhaps more in line with what we might expect of Lille’s.
The winners of this clash will face either Barcelona or Benfica – most likely the prior, given they managed a 1-0 win on the road last time out.
⭐ Lille v Borussia Dortmund Best Bet
The last leg, taking place in Germany, was a cagey 1-1 draw, which produced minimal opportunities for either side to capitalise on. Lille, nonetheless, seemed the better of the pair, accumulating 0.88 xG to Dortmund’s 0.27 – scoring the only big chance of the game.
Lille have boasted an exceptional home record in the Champions League to date, winning five of the six they’ve hosted, including a win against Real Madrid, and drawing the anomaly, against Juventus.
On the other hand, Dortmund have been unable to settle into a rhythm this season, and followed up their draw against Lille with a loss to Augsburg. They’ve now been defeated in seven of their last 15, managing just five wins over this period.
🟢 Lille v Borussia Dortmund ABC Exclusive Boost
Back Borussia Dortmund to have the Most Corners & Commit the Most Fouls @ 7.0 with Paddy Power
Dortmund have consistently outperformed Lille in winning corners, averaging 5.78 corners per game across all competitions and 6.0 in the Champions League. In contrast, Lille have managed just 4.62 and 3.67, respectively.
Defensively, the French side also concede more corners on average – allowing 4.40 per game in Ligue 1 and 5.78 in the UCL, compared to Dortmund’s 3.96 and 3.91. This disparity was evident in the reverse fixture, where Dortmund dominated the corner count 5-1. Remarkably, that marked the 13th time in 14 matches they had won at least five corners – a trend they extended in their most recent outing against Augsburg, where they racked up 12 in total.
That wasn’t the only front Dortmund dominated, with their foul tally of 14 eclipsing Lille’s six, despite being at home. This has been a fairly consistent trend in the Champions League for the German side, who have averaged just under 15 fouls per game across their last five in the competition. This is over double what Lille have averaged during their last five in the UCL, averaging a mere 7.2 per game.
👕 Lille v Borussia Dortmund Predicted XI
🔍 Lille v Borussia Dortmund Players to Watch
🟡 Karim Adeyemi
Adeyemi has been in great form in recent matches, regularly testing opposition defences and registering 19 shots across his last five games.
This selection has also landed in six of his last eight appearances, highlighting his strong attacking output.
He’s averaging 2.85 shots per 90 minutes across all competitions, with that figure rising to 3.15 in the Champions League.
Even in the reverse fixture, where Dortmund managed just seven shots in total, he still recorded two and got himself on the scoresheet.
🟡 Julian Ryerson
Julian Ryerson stands out as a strong contender in the fouls market, averaging 1.43 fouls per 90 – the 2nd-highest rate among Dortmund’s expected starters.
The right back has committed at least one foul in each of his last four outings, including twice in the reverse fixture against Lille.
His disciplinary struggles in the Champions League are well documented, with him having committed at least one foul in eight of his nine starts.
Adding to the appeal, he’s likely to be up against Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Lille’s most fouled player, who has drawn an average of 1.59 fouls per 90.
📂 Lille v Borussia Dortmund Cheat Sheet
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🔥 Lille v Borussia Dortmund Streaks
These are team selections that have landed in the last five Champions League games ↙️
Lille 1+ goals scored
Lille opponents 1+ goals scored
Lille 7+ fouls won (11+ in 4/5)
Lille opponents 1+ cards
Dortmund 5+ corners
Dortmund 1+ cards
Dortmund 10+ fouls committed (14+ in 4/5)
🏟️ Lille v Borussia Dortmund Hit Rates
These are player selections that have landed in each of the last five Champions League games ↙️
Mandi 1+ fouls committed
Cabella 1+ fouls won
David 1+ shots
Adeyemi 1+ fouls committed (2+ in 4/5)
Nmecha 1+ fouls won
Guirassy 1+ shots (2+ in 4/5)
Adeyemi 1+ tackles
🏁 Lille v Borussia Dortmund Ref Watch
- Referee – Sandro Scharer
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 3.33 / 0.00 |
| Fouls Given | 21..00 |
| Penalties | 0.33 |
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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