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Liverpool v Man United Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Liverpool v Man United Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Saturday 16 December, 20232 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Liverpool v Man United

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Kick Off: Sunday 17th December at 16:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event

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Super Sunday is treating us this weekend as Liverpool face Manchester United at Anfield. The Red Devils will be forced to relive painful memories of last year’s seven-goal battering and after both sides suffered midweek disappointments, these two titans will be hoping to get back on track and re-focus themselves on the Premier League. 

Liverpool sit at the top of the Premier League with a one-point advantage over Arsenal, after the Reds extended their win streak to three consecutive league wins by defeating Crystal Palace last week. With four wins in their five last meetings with Manchester United, Klopp’s boys will be hopeful of extending their stay at the top of the table. 

Not even a victory for Erik ten Hag’s side would have sent them through to the Champions League knockouts in the end, but after a very pitiful group stage campaign, Man Utd see themselves without European football for the rest of this season. Last weekend’s performance in the 3-0 loss to Bournemouth at Old Trafford certainly isn't inspiring coming into this one but games between these two clubs tend to throw up surprises.

Liverpool v Man United Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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You can find Liverpool v Man United match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.

⚽ Match stats: Difficult to look past the hosts on Sunday

It feels very strange for a game like this to have such a heavy favourite but perhaps results over the years do justify the bookies' decisions. Liverpool are priced at 1.30 to win on Sunday but with the Red Devils going over two years without winning away against a team in the top eight of the table, to do so at a new record-breaking attendance at Anfield will certainly be a tough task. United have failed to win any of their past 13 Premier League away fixtures against teams starting the day in the top eight of the table, losing 10 of those matches and they have gone eight league and cup matches without a win at Anfield, scoring just once in this run (D3, L5) so there’s certainly a feeling of confidence among the Liverpool fans. Man Utd are justifiably frustrated with their extensive injury list including lots of their star-studded midfielders, and additions of the midweek casualties of Luke Shaw and Harry Maguire really couldn’t have come at a worse time - if the uphill battle wasn't already steep enough. Liverpool are looking like a different beast at Anfield this year winning each of their 11 home matches in all competitions this season, scoring 35 goals and conceding seven. A 2-1 defeat to Leeds in October 2022 is Liverpool's only loss in their past 49 Premier League home fixtures. Klopp’s side have won four of the past five league meetings with Manchester United, scoring at least four goals in each of those victories, so perhaps it's more of a question of damage limitation on Sunday for the visitors.

Predictions:

🏆 Liverpool to win @ 1.30 🏆 Liverpool (-1 handicap) @ 1.80 ⚽ Over 1.5 Liverpool goals @ 1.20

🎯 Shooting stats: The Egyptian King to extend his reign

Mohamed Salah is impossible to look past in this fixture. From 11 league games against the Red Devils, he has picked up a whopping 10 goals and four assists netting in each of their last six meetings, and with his form continuing to flourish again this season he could hold great value here again. Salah boasts 18 goal contributions this season with 11 goals and seven assists, only Erling Haaland matches him for goal involvements. This has given Salah an expected xG+A of 1.17 per 90, a very promising stat going into this clash. Salah is averaging 2.81 shots on goals per 90 with 1.04 hitting the target and with this Manchester United side experiencing persistent defensive troubles, conceding 15 shots a game on average, his involvement could be very punishing. Manchester United’s attacking performances this year can probably be summed up with the fact that Scott McTominay is looking consistently like their biggest goal threat. The Scotsman had a very impressive Euro 2024 Qualifying campaign helping send his country to the tournament in the summer and he has since continued to perform for the Red Devils. McTominay is averaging 2.56 shots on goal per 90, a very tame figure considering he has seven shots in each of his last two Premier League games with six hitting the target. Averaging 1.33 shots on target, he could be a good value selection for Sunday’s game for the Red Devils.

Predictions:

🚀 Scott McTominay to have 2+ shots @ 2.10 🎯 Scott McTominay to have 1+ shots on target @ 2.50 ⚽ Mohamed Salah to score or assist @ 1.44
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🛑 Fouls stats: A classic rivalry to brew drama

It's very common for players to wear their hearts on their sleeves in this fixture and it can often be their undoing, especially in a game where it can get scrappy. Both sides have shown reasonable discipline in the bookings department but that doesn't hide their tendency to commit fouls. Liverpool emerge as the main culprits committing an average of 11.80 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season. They racked up 18 against Crystal Palace last weekend and with a result being expected from Liverpool here, if Man Utd can keep them at bay and frustrate the hosts, tempers could easily be lost. Key fouling candidates for the hosts include the midfield duo of Wataru Endo and Alexis Mac Allister who are committing 3.25 and 1.83 fouls per 90 respectively in the league this season. Both will be facing up against the likes of Bruno Fernandes and Anthony, drawing in 0.88 and 2.50 fouls respectively. Manchester United have also expressed their love for fouls, committing 10.40 per 90 and racking up 33 fouls across their last three Premier League matches. They picked up 10 fouls in their clash with Bayern Munich in midweek and 18 in their game against Galatasaray so there’s certainly lots of fouling potential, especially in the high-emotion matchups. During their 7-0 loss last season, the Red Devils made 14 fouls to Liverpool’s 13 and with plenty at stake - points, pride and potential job security for Erik ten Hag - things could get heated quickly.

Predictions:

🛑 Liverpool to commit 10+ fouls @ 1.40 🛑 Man United to commit 11+ fouls @ 1.30 🛑 Wataru Endo to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.57

🟨 Cards stats: A busy evening for the referee

Manchester United sit in tenth for the most bookings this season having picked up 35 cards across their 16 games, whereas Sunday's hosts sit in 19th with 30 cards. Man United have accumulated a higher cards per 90 average with 2.19 compared to Liverpool’s 1.88 but this affair always brings cards. Erik ten Hag's side have received the most cards in four consecutive meetings between these sides in the Premier League, picking up 14 yellows across those games.

Predictions:

🟨 Man United to receive the most cards @ 1.73 🟨 Over 2.5 Man United cards @ 1.70 🟨 Over 3.5 cards @ 1.29  

* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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