Man United v Lyon

After a thrilling 2-2 draw at the Groupama Stadium, Lyon now travel to Old Trafford for the second leg. United will be desperate for a win to keep their hopes of silverware alive in what’s been a difficult and disappointing season.

⭐ Man United v Lyon Best Bet

These odds look excellent for a Lyon win or draw, especially considering how poor United have been lately. They are 14th in the Premier League and have managed only 10 league wins all season, they've won just six of 16 home league matches. Recent form is no better with only one win in their last five, including a heavy 4-1 loss to Newcastle last time out.

They are still unbeaten in the Europa League this term, but they’ve drawn five times, and most of their games have been against fairly weak opposition. In the first leg, despite Lyon's late equaliser, United created fewer chances and had a much lower xG.

Lyon, meanwhile, are in great shape in Ligue 1. They’re currently 4th, just two points off second, and have won five of their last six. In Europe, they’ve only lost once and are unbeaten away from home, winning three of their five away matches. Given the form of both sides and United’s struggles, odds of 2.10 for Lyon to win or draw look like great value.

👕 Man United v Lyon Predicted XI

🔍 Man United v Lyon Players to Watch

🔴 Harry Maguire

Harry Maguire to be carded at 3.50 looks a strong value pick based on his disciplinary record and the nature of the fixture. He has picked up seven yellow cards in the Premier League this season, the second most of any Man United player.

He averages just under one foul per game in the league and exactly 1.0 per game in Europe, but that number often jumps in higher-stakes matches. In the reverse leg of this tie last week he committed two fouls. Maguire tends to struggle when isolated or forced into recovery situations, often resorting to cynical fouls, the kind that draw cards in tight European fixtures.

⚪ Alexandre Lacazette

Lacazette is Lyon’s top scorer in Ligue 1 with 12 goals in 26 appearances, and has added three more in nine Europa League games, making him the clear focal point of their attack. He also leads the team in both shots per game and shots on target per game, averaging 1.2 on target in domestic competition.

Lyon are scoring at a solid rate too, averaging two goals per game in the league and 2.3 in Europe. United, meanwhile, are conceding 1.41 goals per game in the Premier League, and their defensive record in Europe hasn’t been much better. If Lyon are likely to score, as the stats suggest, then Lacazette is the standout candidate to be the man to do it.

📂 Man United v Lyon Cheat Sheet

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💻 Man United v Lyon Form and Tactics

United have struggled to find any kind of rhythm this season. They're stuck in 14th place in the league, having already racked up 14 losses. Rúben Amorim has been pretty stubborn with his tactics, mostly sticking to a 3-4-3 or 3-4-2-1 setup, but it hasn't been working.

The system puts a lot of pressure on the wide players, and with a real lack of quality in those areas, they’ve often struggled to play out from the back effectively. Goals have been hard to come by in the league, though they’ve had a bit more joy in Europe, but the standard of opposition hasn’t exactly been top drawer.

Lyon are 4th in Ligue 1, just two points off second, and their 52% win rate makes United’s 31% look very poor. Going forward, they’ve been sharp and they are averaging 1.97 goals per game in the league and 2.27 in Europe. They’ve lost just once in the Europa League and are unbeaten away from home. Tactically, they tend to go with a 4-3-3, playing with width and pace, always looking to get in behind. It’s been effective, and they’ve looked a real threat, as highlighted by their goal record.

🏁 Man United v Lyon Ref Watch

• Referee - Sandro Scharer

• Stats are per 90 and are taken from Scharer's 2024/25 games in all competitions (14 total)

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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.