ABC logo
Man United v Arsenal 6/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Man United v Arsenal 6/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Thursday 14 August, 20254 min read
Avatar

Ramis Ibrahim

Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.

In this article...

Manchester United welcome Arsenal to Old Trafford in the standout clash of the opening weekend of the 25/26 Premier League season. 

Andy's PL table predictor is up and running, I’ve already put mine in. Free to play and there’s a million quid up for grabs.

✚ Add picks to your betslip to place bets directly on Andy's Bet Club.


Man United v Arsenal Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Man United v Arsenal
  • Premier League
  • 16:30
5 Selections @ 7.23

Matheus Cunha to have 1+ Shots on Target

Of the attacking reinforcements that Manchester United have brought in this summer, I think Cunha is the best fit when factoring in Ruben Amorim’s unique system. Cunha registered 21 goal contributions across his 29 Premier League starts last season. He had 110 shots across these games (3.81 per 90) with 44 of those attempts finding the target (1.52 per 90).

We can expect Cunha to maintain this high shot average, seeing as he isn’t afraid to take aim from unlikely angles - exactly 50% of Cunha’s shots came from outside the box last season, and he benefited from this risk with four of his goals coming from those. It’s possible that a few less of those speculative efforts find the back of the net, seeing as Cunha outperformed his xG by 6.4 goals last season. There weren’t many other players who overachieved by that margin last season, but Bryan Mbuemo also notably saw a similar trend for Brentford last term. 

Cunha found the target in both of Wolves’ games against Arsenal last season, despite only playing 33 minutes in the initial clash between the sides. Cunha’s willingness to take on shots from improbable angles makes him likely to fashion chances entirely on his own, making him a solid choice to find the target here.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Bukayo Saka to have 1+ Shots on Target

Bukayo Saka will be hoping this is the year he can finally carry Arsenal to the Premier League title and the Gunners can start the 25/26 season with a real statement win here, but it should be noted that Arsenal have a pitiful record at Old Trafford in the Premier League era.

Arsenal were a bit flat offensively last season, this was partly due to injuries to Saka and Martin Odegaard at different points in the season, but Saka managed to maintain a solid shot on target record throughout the campaign. Saka had 67 shots across his 20 Premier League starts last season (3.48 per 90) with 23 of those attempts finding the target (1.19 per 90). It’s worth noting that this is the highest shot volume that Saka has posted in the Premier League across his seven seasons for Arsenal.

Saka is on penalties for Arsenal which can offer the 23-year-old another route to goal. Saka missed two of the three meetings between the sides last season due to injury, but he did find the target in Arsenal’s 2-0 win over Manchester United at the Emirates.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Viktor Gyokeres to Commit 1+ Fouls

This game is laced with narratives and the striking battle between Gyokeres and Benjamin Sesko is the standout storyline at Old Trafford. Gyokeres was linked with a move to rejoin former boss Ruben Amorim at Manchester United before he signed for the Gunners, and Arsenal reportedly preferred Sesko before moving for Gyokeres. I actually think that both sides have got the wrong striker in terms of what would suit their system, but it will be fascinating to see how they do this season. 

Gyokeres’ goal record at Sporting speaks for itself, but his foul record at Sporting is also an area of promise, especially seeing as he will be the lone striker up against the back three of United. Gyokeres is a wrecking ball of a striker, he loves being fed the ball with space ahead of him to run into, but he can occasionally be overzealous in challenges with opposition centre-backs. Gyokeres committed 24 fouls across his 31 appearances for Sporting in Liga Portugal last season (0.77 per 90), I would expect this to increase this season with the extra defensive responsibilities that Mikel Arteta demands from his forwards.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Martin Zubimendi to be Fouled 1+ Times

In my opinion this will prove to be Arsenal’s best signing of the window. I think there were better options for the Gunners to fill the striker role, but Zubimendi could end up being as important to Arsenal as Rodri is to Manchester City. That is a bold claim, but he has already got many Arsenal fans excited with his performances in pre-season and the relationship he’s developing with Declan Rice. 

Zubimendi has much more to his game than just being a player that recycles the ball. He’s shown in pre-season that he can be the genesis for Arsenal’s attacks this season, whilst also offering defensive cover. The rotation between him and Rice this season is definitely something to keep an eye on, and also why I think Zubimendi’s fouls won numbers will increase this season. 

Zubimendi won 19 fouls across his 33 starts for Real Sociedad in La Liga last season (0.58 per 90) - this is a really low record for a defensive midfielder, which also tells us that Zubimendi’s positioning is elite. However, this record is bound to increase in the Premier League as it is a more physical league and Zubimendi won’t get as much time on the ball to dictate play - especially against a United side that can have as many as four bodies in central areas. 

He’ll be lining up against Manuel Ugarte here, who committed 41 fouls across his 22 Premier League starts last season (2.06 per 90). Zubimendi should be earmarked as a potential game-changer for Arsenal this season, and his fouls won record should increase accordingly, especially up against a player as aggressive as Manuel Ugarte. 

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Patrick Dorgu to have 1+ Shots

Dorgu really caught my eye in pre-season when watching Manchester United compete in the PL Summer Series against Everton, Bournemouth and West Ham. Manchester United went on to win the tournament and I came away thinking that Dorgu could develop into a superb wing back in Amorim’s system. 

The two best words to describe Dorgu are pace and power. He is still quite raw and will need some work to polish the inconsistent parts of his game, but he offers Manchester United something which they really lacked last season. Manchester United were far too lightweight last season, the Red Devils folded at the first sign of physicality, but improved in this area when Dorgu joined in January.

Dorgu had 10 shots across his 10 starts for Manchester United in the Premier League last season (1.06 per 90), which is a record which presents promise for this upcoming campaign. Dorgu will be United’s outlet on the left-hand side and could prove important against an Arsenal side that likes to move their full backs inside or push them up the channels.

Super Sub
Safe Sub
18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.
Man United v Arsenal Best Longshot Bets
  • Man United v Arsenal
  • Premier League
  • 16:30
5 Selections @ 40.89

Vikto Gyokeres to Score Anytime

It would be poetic if Gyokeres was to score his first Premier League goal against his former manager and the side that had also courted him throughout the summer. I still maintain that I don’t think Gyokeres is the best fit stylistically for Arteta, but the Arsenal manager may be going for a direct approach this season, which would certainly suit Gyokeres. 

Despite my belief that there were better-suited strikers to Arsenal, Gyokeres will get goals purely because of the volume of chances that Arsenal will be able to create with the general dominance they have in the majority of their games in the English top-flight. 

Gyokeres’ scored 54 goals across his 52 appearances in all competitions for Sporting last season, building on the 23/24 season where he netted 43 goals across his 50 appearances under Ruben Amorim. It remains to be seen whether Gyokeres can translate this form to the most competitive league in Europe.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Benjamin Sesko to Score or Assist

Looking over to the opposite corner, I think Sesko would have been the perfect acquisition for Mikel Arteta. It’s easy to look at his numbers from last season and think that he won’t score enough goals for United, but Sesko was playing in a slightly different role last season, often just behind the striker and was still incredibly effective. In his first season in the Bundesliga, only Serhou Guirassy and Harry Kane scored at a better rate than Sesko, which is more illustrative of his true scoring power. 

He’s also only 22 years old, leaving plenty of room for Sesko to develop into the perfect Premier League striker with the Slovenian already having the pace and physicality that the league demands. 

Sesko scored 21 goals and provided six assists across his 45 appearances for RB Leipzig last season. He actually scored three fewer goals overall in the 23/24 season, so there is actually an argument to suggest that Sesko has developed further in the most recent season, instead of the narrative that he regressed last campaign.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Bruno Fernandes to Score or be Shown a Card

This selection landed in two of the meetings between these age old rivals last season, and Fernandes’ pre-season performances would suggest that he can continue to be a thorn in the side of Arsenal, either through catching the eye of the referee or finding the back of the net. Fernandes registered four goal contributions across his three PL Summer Series games as Manchester United won the competition. 

Fernandes was easily Manchester United’s best player last season in registering 18 goal contributions across his 36 appearances for the Red Devils - more than any other player in the United ranks. His role on penalties and free kicks for United gives him a real chance of finding the back of the net in this opening clash. Fernandes scored against Arsenal in the 1-1 draw against the Gunners and in the FA Cup clash at the Emirates, where he was also shown a yellow card. 

Fernandes picked up five cards in total during the 24/25 season (three yellows, two reds), this is actually lower than I expected for a player with the attitude and approach of Fernandes, but we may see a rise in this metric this season seeing as Fernandes will occasionally be playing in a slightly deeper role - this market covers both possible roles that Fernandes could play in Ruben Amorim’s system, making it a solid choice for the blockbuster game of the opening weekend.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Patrick Dorgu to Commit 2+ Fouls

We’ve spoken a little about the threat that Dorgu can offer going forward for United, but he will also be regularly tested defensively here up against one of the most consistently fouled players in the Premier League in Bukayo Saka. 

Dorgu committed 17 fouls across his 12 appearances for Manchester United in the Premier League last season, he made at least one foul in nine of those games which is a promising record, even before factoring in the threat of Bukayo Saka. 

Saka has long been one of the most difficult wingers to stop in 1v1 situations, and that shouldn’t change this season. Saka won 39 fouls across his 25 Premier League appearances last season (2.02 per 90).

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Amad Diallo to have 2+ Shots

Amad Diallo is likely to line up as a right wing back here, as he did in Manchester United’s final pre-season friendly game against Fiorentina. Diallo and Bryan Mbeumo showed some really positive signs in that friendly, with that game also confirming that Diallo’s role will primarily be an attacking one. 

Many have questioned whether it is possible for Amorim to play with the same bold system he used at Sporting, which often included four wingers with two of them operating as wing backs. Diallo had two shots against Fiorentina in that friendly, confirming that he will still be a shot threat this season. 

Diallo had 47 shots across his 26 Premier League appearances last season (2.23 per 90), with some of these appearances being as a wing back in Amorim’s positive system. As Diallo is left-footed, we can expect him to take the option to cut in and shoot more often than getting to the byline and delivering a ball into the box. 

Super Sub
Safe Sub
18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards valid for 90 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify (Apple Pay excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. AD

📂 Man United v Arsenal Cheat Sheet

Generic

Live Now

Andy's Tips

Latest football and horse racing tips from Andy Robson and his team of experts.

Paddy Power

Paddy Power

Leicester v Birmingham Bet Builder

  • Championship
  • Friday 29th August
  • 20:00

View selections

Join Paddy Power

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.
Andy's

Andy's

Andy's £1M Predictor

View selections

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

📈 Man United v Arsenal Form & Tactics

Manchester United are a massive unknown coming into the 25/26 season. They’ve been active in the transfer window in restructuring their attacking line, but there are still glaring gaps at the back and in the middle of the field. The only prediction I feel comfortable enough to give with United is that their games will see more goals this season as a natural result of having a sharper front three, but still the same issues in the backline.

Manchester United won the PL Summer Series tournament in America, having registered wins over Bournemouth and West Ham before giving up a two-goal lead against Everton in the final game, which highlighted some of the issues that Ruben Amorim still has to figure out. 

The issue for United is that the top four from last season have kicked on in assembling really strong squads, which United are still quite a way behind. It is difficult to make a case for United to finish in the top six this season, despite the improvements they’ve made to the squad.

Until Arsenal sign a left winger to complete their attack, I think the Gunners will fall short of the Premier League title again. One of the main issues that Arsenal face is that sides will set up in low blocks against them, often adding extra scaffolding to the right-hand side where Arsenal’s two main chance creators in Saka and Odegaard, operate. This can make it difficult for Arsenal to create chances as the left-hand side just isn’t as threatening with Gabriel Martinelli yet to show he can consistently deliver at the elite level. 

The rest of Arsenal’s squad is really strong. I love the signing of Zubimendi, and Cristhian Mosquera can add defensive cover should Gabriel or William Saliba pick up an injury. However, if I was Ruben Amorim looking for a chink in the armour, I’d target set pieces. Only Southampton and Wolves (both 20) conceded more goals from set pieces in the Premier League than Arsenal last season (14), which is really surprising for a side that are so good at set pieces themselves. These goals accounted for 41% of the goals that the Gunners conceded last season, so if you want to break Arsenal down, it’s worth going through a few set-piece routines.


🏁 Ref Watch

Simon Hooper

  • Simon Hooper averaged 4.67 yellow cards per game in the Premier League last season, a notable increase on his career average of 3.52 yellow cards per game.


📊 Man United v Arsenal Key Stats

  • Manchester United boast the best record on the opening day of any Premier League side. 

  • Manchester United won just seven of their 19 games at Old Trafford last season, scoring only 23 goals. Only the three relegated sides scored fewer goals at home than Manchester United last season. 

  • Manchester United have rebuilt their frontline with Cunha, Sesko and Mbeumo in line for debuts here. 

  • Arsenal have a torrid record at Old Trafford in the Premier League, winning just two of their 15 trips to the Theatre of Dreams - both of those victories were 1-0 wins under Mikel Arteta. 

  • Arsenal drew eight away games last season, more than any other side in the Premier League. 

  • 41% of the total goals that Arsenal conceded last season were from set pieces. 


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Andy's Bet Club is packed full of Expert Football Tips. We also have an easy-to-use Bet Builder Stats tool to help you conduct your own research. Look out for our Premier League Predictions this season.

This week's coverage on ABC includes Premier League Acca Tips, Corner Acca Tips and our Result + Both Teams To Score Accumulator.

These Man United v Arsenal Betting Stats provide further insight.

When backing our tips, you'll want to be doing so on the Top Bet Builder Sites and Best UK Sports Betting Sites. We also track the best offers, such as the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and bet365 Sign Up Offer. There's a list of the latest New Bookmaker Offers here.

For additional value, check out our bet365 6 Scores Challenge Tips and our Paddy Power Beat The Drop Predictions.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


Emoji
Written by an Andy verified content writer

18+ please gamble responsibly.