💎 Gem Bet: Harry Maguire - 1+ Fouls Won @ 1.72 (Bet365)

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Harry Maguire has missed the last few games for Manchester United due to suspension, but is set to return to the starting lineup here and is generously priced to win a foul. Maguire has been fouled in each of his last five Premier League appearances, drawing 2+ fouls in two of these games.

He’s priced at 4.33 to win 2+ fouls here, which is also certainly worth a look when looking at how aggressive his direct opponent in Igor Thiago is here. Igor Thiago is enjoying a brilliant season, only sitting second to Erling Haaland in the goalscoring ranks, but is lazy with his challenges having committed 61 fouls across his 32 Premier League starts this term (1.94 per 90).

Thiago has committed a foul in each of his last five Premier League matches, committing 2+ fouls in two of these games. He’s as short as 1.16 to commit a foul in this clash, so it’s more worthwhile to take his direct opponent to win a foul rather than back Thiago at that low price. Thiago committed a foul when these sides met earlier in the campaign, with Brentford committing 14 fouls in total.

Across the season as a whole, Maguire has won 14 fouls across his 14 starts in the Premier League (1.05 per 90), so this is clearly a consistent part of his game and can come to the fore here against a striker in Igor Thiago who can be very reckless with his challenges.

There is clear value when backing this selection with Bet365, the exact same angle is priced as low as 1.25 with other major bookmakers.