Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.
Avid football writer and Premier League specialist. Meticulous eye for player prop bets across English, European and International football honed over four years in football analysis.
This price for Foden to win 2+ fouls against Wolves instantly caught my eye, with how aggressive and compact the Wolves midfield trio is. Wolves are committing more fouls than any other side in the Premier League this season (14.1 per game), a natural extension of the frustration that has stalked them this term.
Wolves committed 13 fouls in the most recent meeting between these sides, Foden didn’t start in that game, but both Reijnders and Gonzalez were fouled at least twice - Gonzalez managed to win three fouls. Andre and Joao Gomes lined up in midfield on that occasion, and committed four fouls between them.
Wolves have added an extra body into midfield since Rob Edwards took over, with Mateus Mane taking on that role. The trio of Andre, Gomes and Mane have posted some really promising foul numbers across the season, and in recent matches:
Mane - 1.68 fouls committed p/90 (9 fouls in last 5 apps)
Gomes - 2.27 fouls committed p/90 (8 fouls in last 5 apps)
Andre - 1.31 fouls committed p/90 (3 fouls in last 5 apps)
Foden will be running at one of the most aggressive midfield trios in the Premier League here, which should see him improve on his 1.39 fouls won per 90 in the top flight this term. Foden was fouled twice the last time he started against Wolves, which was back in 2024.
There is good value with this selection when backing with bet365, the exact same pick is priced as low as 1.44 with other major bookmakers.