Newcastle games average 2.17 goals so far this season, rising slightly to 2.25 at home this season. At St James’ Park they have kept a clean sheet in over half of their games (58%) and both teams have scored in just one third of their matches. None of their last five and just two of their last ten here have seen three or more goals. Chelsea (22) and Wolves (25) are the only team in the league to see fewer goals than Newcastle (27) at their home ground in the Premier League this season.

Wolves games also see very few goals, averaging 2.08 every matchday. Away from Molineux, this rises to 2.23 but they have only seen three or more goals in 46% of games on the road. This market has landed in their last two on the road and in three of their six in the Premier League since the World Cup. This market has also landed in each of their last four, with just one of those games seeing both teams find the back of the net. The return fixture finished 1-1 and this selection would have landed.

Newcastle have taken 163 corners this season, the third most of any team behind Manchester City (171) and Liverpool (167). At home, they have taken five or more corners in 83% of their matches, and in four of their last five – including against Liverpool where they were reduced to ten men after 22 minutes. Across their last ten league games, this selection has landed on eight occasions, and they have amassed eight or more in three of those.

In their last ten league matches, they have conceded 50 corners at a rate of exactly five per game. They have conceded at least five in 70% of games in that time. In their last five away league matches, they have conceded at least five corners in four. In the reverse fixture, Newcastle had an enormous 13 corners away from home.

Newcastle games have averaged four cards this season, rising to 4.17 at home. At St James’ Park, four or more cards have been shown in 58% of games and in three of the last five here. At least three cards have been awarded in each of the last five here and eight of the last ten. Newcastle have been shown two or more cards in four of their last five in the league.

Wolves away games have averaged 4.08 cards per game this season, with this selection landing in 62% of their games on the road, including in seven of their last ten. In their matches away from home, they have drawn at least one yellow card in every match and had at least two given to them in 62% of games.

The referee for this one is Andy Madley who averages 3.77 cards per game across his 17 Premier League matches this season. His last two matches – Liverpool vs Manchester United and Everton vs Leeds – have both seen five cards shown. Across his last seven, there have been 37 cards with at least four in five of those seven games. The Englishman showed nine yellow cards in the stalemate between Newcastle and Arsenal – only match involving the Toon he has ruled over this season. He has not been a part of a Wolves Premier League match yet.

Bruno Guimaraes is averaging 54.4 passes attempted per 90 minutes. At St James’ Park, he has played nine league games. In six of those games, he has attempted 50 or more passes with he exceptions being 28 (in 45 minutes) against Fulham, 46 against Aston Villa and 31 against Manchester City. He should see more of the ball here and given Newcastle’s issues in front of goal recently, he should help to provide some more attacking impetus, having missed a large chunk of February with suspension. The Brazilian was injured in the return fixture but last season he had 45 passes in 87 minutes against Wolves in a far worse Newcastle side.

Excluding Southampton and Bournemouth who are both very negative sides, Wolves have had less possession than their opponents in the last seven matches, which should mean that Guimaraes will be allowed to dictate the play. Spurs midfielders Pierre Hojbjerg (77) and Oliver Skipp (65) both attempted at least 50 passes last week.