💎 Gem Bet: Nuno Mendes - 2+ Shots @ 2.20 (Bet365)

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PSG players are often really short for shots in Ligue 1, but there is a bit of value here in backing Mendes for 2+ shots. Usually, I would shy away from backing fullbacks for shots but PSG play in a way which basically sees their fullback play as wide players with both Hakimi and Mendes given licence to get forward.

Hakimi is as short as 1.44 to have 2+ shots here, despite actually having fewer shots (21) than Mendes (28) in Ligue 1 this season. Mendes’ efforts work out to an average of 2.22 shots per 90 which is an incredibly strong record for a fullback and shows just how often Mendes is encouraged to get forward by Luis Enrique.

Furthermore, PSG had 28 shots when these sides faced off earlier in the season with Luis Enrique’s side coming away 1-0 winners in that clash. Mendes had two shots in that game from eight touches in the opposition box. Mendes has actually had 2+ shots in each of the last three head to head meetings between these sides, suggesting that Nice don’t properly guard against the threat that PSG carry through their fullbacks.

This is very generously priced with Bet365, the exact same angle is priced as low as 1.36 with other major bookmakers.