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Poland v Austria Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Poland v Austria Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

Thursday 20 June, 20241 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

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Poland v Austria Bet Builder Tips & Longshot

It's the battle of the basement dwellers in Group D after both suffered defeats in their opening games. The Olympiastadion in Berlin hosts an important clash with qualification hopes on the lines. 

Below, we’ve put together a bet builder at 2/1 and a longshot at 9/1 for Friday’s clash between Poland and Austria. We also have a Poland v Austria betting preview to help you get stuck into the data.

Andy's Bet Club is the only place you need this summer for your Euro 2024 predictions. Be sure to check out our site everyday to keep up to date with the abundance of Euro 2024 acca tips, both teams to score tips, and plenty more free football tips.

If bet builders are more your thing, we've got daily shot on target predictions and foul betting tips to help you craft after on the top bet builder sites with a bunch of free bets for Euro 2024 available too.

2/1 Poland v Austria Bet Builder Tip

Bet builder predictions that are eligible for Paddy Power Super Sub will be marked with this emoji ‘🔄️’.

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🎯 Christoph Baumgartner to have 1+ shots on target 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.44

Baumgartner was guilty of missing a golden chance to open the scoring against France, and will be looking to atone for his errors against Poland. In that game, he managed two shots, both of which were on target. Building up to the Euros, Austria had five friendlies against fellow Euros competitors - Baumgartner started all five in his attacking midfield role, and had a shot on target in each and every fixture, including against Germany. The RB Leipzig player has a massive role under Ralf Ragnick, often as a second-striker behind Gregoritsch as opposed to a creator. Austria will have to get a result from this game to continue their hopes of knockout qualification, so Baumgartner should be heavily involved at the business end of the field.

🚀 Stefan Posch to have 1+ shots 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.44

Stefan Posch is set to once again operate at right back for Ralf Ragnick after a tough test against France. Despite the immense task of keeping tabs on Kylian Mbappe, Posch showed a willingness to get forward, which would in turn see Konrad Laimer sit deeper as a counterbalance. Posch was responsible for one of the six Austrian shots at Mike Maignans’ net - a speculative effort from distance. That was not a one-off for the Bologna fullback, who has shown a willingness to try his luck from range. He has now had a shot in each of his last six starts for Austria including two shots against Germany. Standing at 188cm tall, he is also a threat from set-pieces - his only goal for Bologna this season came from a corner. Austria should find more shooting opportunities than they did against France, so hopefully Posch is in and amongst them again.

🛑 Stefan Posch to commit 1+ fouls 🔄️

📈 Odds: 1.30

Posch committed two fouls against France, a number that could have been significantly higher had the referee not played the advantage on several occasions. While France are formidable opponents, Posch faces another tough challenge against the dynamic fullback Nicola Zalewski. Similarly, Netherlands right-back Denzel Dumfries committed two fouls in the same area of the field where Posch will play on Friday. This matchup is expected to be challenging, with Posch needing to cope with Zalewski's speed, and his tendency to press aggressively might backfire. Posch has committed at least two fouls in each of his last four appearances for Austria. Given the high stakes of the upcoming game, this trend is likely to continue.

9/1 Poland v Austria Longshot

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⚽️ Over 2.5 goals

📈 Odds: 1.91

Both Austria and Poland were brave in their respective round one fixtures, although that exposed some defensive frailties. For Austria, their press led to large gaps in behind - centre-backs Danso and Wober didn’t have the pace to deal with such vast spaces. In the end, Austria were perhaps fortunate to just concede one. For Poland, they also pressed high and committed bodies forward which left them light in transition - Netherlands managed 21 shots amounting to 1.46 xGF. However, Austria also created two big chances, and were unlucky not to convert. Similarly, Poland looked a real threat from set-pieces, and created good chances from their counter-pressing. Lewandowski is set to return, which could be a massive boost for the Poles. Both teams are definitely able to contribute goals in this fixture, and it promises to be quite an open contest.

🎯 Nicola Zalewski to have 1+ shots on target 🔄️

📈 Odds: 3.30

In the absence of Matty Cash, Nicola Zalewski was a constant outlet for Poland, incredibly useful at alleviating pressure by progressing the ball. He was a constant runner, willing to get forward with Jakub Kiwior filling in the space left behind him. Considering he basically played as a left winger, this price of over 2/1 for a Zalewski shot on target really stands out. Zalewski managed one shot on target against the Netherlands, which was an effort from distance late on. For Roma, Zalewski typically operates on the left wing, so is accustomed to getting forward, and he is also right-footed. Naturally, he has favourable angles to cut in and shoot, which increases the chances of him going for goal, and working the opposition goalkeeper.

🛑 Christoph Baumgartner to commit 2+ fouls

📈 Odds: 1.83

Austria committed 18 fouls against France in their opening game, as they put their intense high press on display. Baumgartner was a chief contributor to those, accumulating four fouls himself - the highest of any Austrian player. In preparation for the Euros, Baumgartner committed two or more fouls in three out of five friendly games for Austria, a testament to his defensive work rate. Looking into the two failures, he made zero fouls against Switzerland but was hooked at half-time, and made one foul against Serbia, subbed at the hour mark. Baumgartner played the full 90 minutes against France, and should be set to repeat that in a massive game against Poland. That should maximise the number of duels he contests, and increase the potential for fouls.
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