Gem Bet: PSV v Napoli

Harry Nye
Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.
💎 Gem Bet: Sergino Dest - Over 0.5 Fouls @ 1.80 (bet365)
✅ bet365 - 1.80
SkyBet - 1.17
Paddy Power - 1.17
We're looking to carry on an amazing gem bet streak, which currently stands at nine winners in a row.


- PSV v Napoli
- Champions League
- 20:00

A £10 bet on this Gem Bet returns £18.00 if it wins.
This Gem Bet is best price with bet365. Join here and claim a new customer offer.

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Sergiño Dest is massively overpriced to commit 1 or more fouls at 1.83 with bet365, compared to as low as 1.17 elsewhere. Those shorter odds imply an 85.5% likelihood, and once you look at his fouling trends and match-up, it’s easy to see why.
The American full-back is one of PSV’s most aggressive defenders and will arguably face his toughest test of the season here. Dest is averaging 1.3 fouls per game, with recent returns of 2, 2, 1, and 4, illustrating his willingness to dive into duels and overcommit when pressured.
Up against Scott McTominay, last season’s Serie A Player of the Year, that discipline will be tested even further. The Scots’ blend of close control and driving runs regularly draws contact, averaging 2.64 fouls won per 90 this season. His ability to carry the ball and shield possession makes him particularly awkward to contain without mistiming a challenge.
It’s also worth noting that Dest’s four-foul game came in his last European appearance, reinforcing the idea that continental nights bring added intensity, and occasionally rash decision-making, to his game. Given Dest’s eagerness to engage, Napoli’s technical quality down that flank, and the glaring price disparity between markets, this looks like a strong, value-driven Gem.
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