I really like this price, I keep an eye on Tielemans’ odds to win fouls quite regularly as he has a very consistent record, and this market is usually around 1.6-1.8, so to get 2.25 is appealing, especially against a Spain side who commit more fouls than you might think.

Tielemans is such a consistent player when it comes to winning fouls and has been playing a bit higher up for his nation, which is ideal as it pits him up against Rodri.

Tielemans has been fouled in all five of his World Cup matches so far, winning 2+ fouls in four of these games. This works out to an average of 1.89 fouls won per 90 and makes him a good candidate to draw at least two fouls here.

Tielemans averaged 1.88 fouls won per 90 across four starts for Belgium during qualifying as well as 1.98 fouls won per 90 for Aston Villa in the most recent Premier League campaign. His main opponent, Rodri, has committed five fouls across his five starts at the World Cup (1.01 per 90).

Spain committed 13 fouls against Portugal last time out and have committed 10+ fouls in all five of their matches so far. In order to dominate in the way that Spain do, Luis de la Fuente’s side must work as hard out of possession as they do when with the ball. This leads to an intense counterpress that will target Tielemans at times.

This angle is best priced with bet365; it’s as low as 1.5 with other leading bookmakers, which makes the 2.25 we’re getting here a really attractive price for a player as consistent as Tielemans when it comes to winning fouls.