Parma have produced routinely exciting games and have evidently committed to their attacking outlook and philosophy. They’ve scored at least once in 13 out of their 15 games, and twice in 7, despite having gotten most of their tough fixtures out the way already. On balance they rank 7th in the league for goals scored and 10th for expected goals accumulated. In recent matches, they’ve breached both the Lazio and Juventus backlines twice.

As for Verona, they have comfortably the worst defensive record in the league. They’ve conceded the most expected goals (30.00) and a remarkable 37 goals which no team comes close to rivalling. They’ve been set back at least twice in two-thirds of their league matches this season including 4 of the last 5, averaging 3 conceded per game over the period. Last time out they conceded 4 at home to Empoli in what really was a dismal display.

Bologna have recovered from their mixed start to the season and have lost just 2 of their 14 league games this season. That said, 50% of their league matches have resulted in draws, adding immediate value to this selection. As a result, they’ve won just 6 of their 21 matches across all competitions and are not backed to do so against Fiorentina who are in red hot form.

Fiorentina prolonged their winning streak as they triumphed against Cagliari, making it 8 wins on the bounce for La Viola in the league. They have the joint-best defensive record in the league, having conceded just 10 goals across the season. This has contributed to their impressive league position and the fact that they’re unbeaten in 13 out of 14 league games to date. Most recently they thumped LASK 7-0 in the Europa Conference League.

The stage is set for what appears to be a routine home victory as Borussia Dortmund host Hoffenheim. Both current league standings and the contrasting home and away forms of these two sides make this matchup heavily weighted in the hosts’ favour.

Dortmund’s season at Borussia Park has been nothing short of dominant. While a Ferran Torres-inspired Barcelona ended their unbeaten home streak in midweek, it was the only blemish on an otherwise formidable record. Prior to that and their draw to Bayern, Dortmund had won eight straight home games across all competitions, establishing Borussia Park as a true fortress. Their dominance has been underpinned by an attacking prowess that sees them scoring an impressive 2.9 goals per game at home while conceding just 1.1. This balance of firepower and defensive resilience has left visiting teams struggling to make an impact.

Hoffenheim, in stark contrast, are enduring a torrid season on the road. Winless in all competitions away from home, they’ve managed to pick up just three of their 13 league points on their travels. Their offensive struggles are particularly glaring, with an average of just 0.5 goals scored per away game in the league. To make matters worse, Hoffenheim come into this match on a three-game losing streak away from home, having conceded eight goals in that period. Sitting just three points above the relegation playoff spot, they appear ill-equipped to challenge Dortmund’s dominance.

History further tilts the odds in Dortmund’s favour, with the Black and Yellows losing just 24% of their encounters with Hoffenheim and triumphing in six of their last seven meetings. All signs point to a clinical and commanding performance from the home side.

Stuttgart may not have reached the heights of their impressive second-place finish last season, but they head into this fixture against a struggling Heidenheim side with solid form and a strong chance of securing points.
Heidenheim are grappling with the challenge of balancing European and domestic commitments, sitting precariously in the relegation playoff spot. They enter this match on the back of 6 consecutive losses in all competitions, with their only respite being a win away to Hearts amidst a run of 8 defeats in 9. Even the Voith Arena has failed to provide solace, as since an opening home victory against Augsburg in Round 2, Heidenheim have lost four of their last five Bundesliga home games, with a draw against Hoffenheim their lone highlight. Their recent performances underline their struggles, managing just one goal in their last seven home matches across all competitions while conceding a worrying 14 goals.

Meanwhile, Stuttgart, currently just three points off the Champions League spots, remain motivated to push their campaign back on track. They arrive in Heidenheim on a three-match winning streak, showcasing strong form. However, their Achilles’ heel has been inconsistency on the road, where they average 1.33 goals scored per game while conceding 2. That said, this statistic is somewhat skewed by heavy defeats to Freiburg and Bayern Munich, where they shipped seven goals and managed just one in return. Beyond these outliers, Stuttgart have shown resilience away from home, securing three draws and a win in their other road matches.

Given Stuttgart’s tendency to settle for draws in tricky away fixtures and Heidenheim’s dire form, opting for double chance on Stuttgart appears to be the logical and safest choice.

Villarreal were poor last time out, losing 2-0 to Athletic Club at the San Mames Stadium. However, the Yellow Submarine will be boosted by the return of Ayoze Perez, who appeared for the second-half off the bench. Perez has already scored 7 goals in 5 league starts so far, and is expected to partner Thierno Barry, who has 4 goals in 10 starts, up front.

Villarreal have seen both teams score in 12 of their 15 league games this season, with an average of 3.47 goals per game. Real Betis are a solid matchup to target goals, as they have seen both teams to score land in 8 of their last 10 games in all competitions.

Both teams got on the scoresheet in both head-to-head encounters last season, with the away side prevailing in both fixtures. The match finished 3-2 when these sides last met at the Benito Villamarin Stadium, and 2-1 in favour of Real Betis in the reverse fixture.

Atletico Madrid made it 10 straight wins in all competitions by beating Slovan Bratislava midweek. Los Colchoneros have been in exceptional form in the attacking third, netting 21 goals in their last 5 games.

Such a resurgence in form has seen Atletico climb to third in the Spanish top flight, one point behind Real Madrid, and three points off Barcelona with a game in hand over the Catalans. Diego Simeone will have his sights set on continuing this excellent run of form to keep the pressure on his domestic competitors.

Getafe face the daunting trip to the Metropolitano – they are yet to register a league win on the road this season, having scored just 3 goals in their 7 away games..

Since the appointment of Diego Martinez as head coach, Las Palmas have totally reversed their fortunes, and now sit 14th in La Liga. Before the managerial change, Los Amarillos were winless after 9 games, sitting on just 3 points. Since then, however, they have managed a notable record of 7 wins and 2 draws from 9 matches in all competitions. In that time, they have seen over 1.5 goals land in 8 games, averaging 3.7 goals per game.

Real Sociedad present a tough matchup for Las Palmas here, given how strong their recent form has been. La Real have conceded just 1 goal in their last 8 games in all competitions, despite conceding 5.11 xG in that time – they are due some regression.

Despite that record, they have seen over 1.5 goals land in 5 out of their last 8, a testament to their prolific attacking form. .