Backing Atalanta in the goals market tends to be a profitable choice and we think this is particularly the case as they host Udinese on Sunday.

Gasperini’s men have already notched 29 goals this season, the most of any team and an average of 2.64 per 90. They’ve bagged at least two goals in seven of their last eight, the sole exception being against Celtic when they nonetheless accumulated 2.4xG.

Udinese’s defence has been leaky at times and will surely struggle to contain Atalanta’s explosive attack. The Bianconeri have conceded at least twice in five of their last eight games and as such, it’s a safe assumption that they won’t be relying on shutting Atalanta out but rather may try to match them offensively.

Five of Fiorentina’s most recent seven matches have produced over 2.5 goals, including a fair few high-scoring thrillers like their 6-0 thrashing of Lecce, a 4-2 victory against St. Gallen, and a 5-1 triumph over Roma. Over the course of the season, their matches have averaged 2.97 expected goals and

Verona’s games have been consistently riveting affairs, with only Atalanta’s games resulting in more goals scored. All in all, they’re averaging 3.64 per game, with the majority of those (2.18) finding the back of Verona’s net.

As a result, this selection has been a winner in 10 out of Verona’s 12 games this season. Coming up against high-flying Fiorentina, we see no reason to suggest Sunday will be any different.

With the pressure on Ivan Juric rising, there is little enthusiasm surrounding the club and if their form is anything to go off, they could struggle against Bologna.

The hosts have won just four out of their fifteen games to date, most recently dropping points in the Europa League to Union Saint-Gilloise. Domestically, they’ve failed to claim victory in eight out of 11 league games and have lost three out of their most recent four.

Bologna have finally found a bit of form after an initial transitional period following the loss of several key players over the summer. This selection has been a winner in nine of their ten league matches to date, losing on just one occasion, away to Napoli. It’s worth mentioning that six of those games have resulted in draws, but Vincenzo Italiano’s men come into this off the back of back-to-back wins for the first time this season.

Looking at the head-to-head form, Roma have won none of their last three clashes with Bologna, and just one of the most recent six.

Separated by just a single win, Augsburg and Hoffenheim meet in a clash that tilts toward the home side due to their stark contrast in home and away form. Augsburg’s resilience at the WWK Arena, coupled with Hoffenheim’s ongoing struggles on the road, make the home side or draw a compelling selection here.

When Jess Thorup took charge of Augsburg last October, he inherited a side flirting with relegation. Since then, he’s reshaped their defensive and attacking prowess, transforming them into a solid mid-table competitor.

At home, Augsburg have been particularly impressive, averaging 2.2 goals per game in attack while conceding just 1.6. Away from home, these numbers decline dramatically, but in front of their own fans, they have lost just once in the league this season and are riding a four-game winning streak at the WWK Arena in all competitions.

Hoffenheim, meanwhile, finds itself mired in the relegation zone, with away form proving to be their Achilles’ heel. Their attacking output away from the PreZero Arena has been limited to just 0.75 goals per game in the league, and they haven’t managed to replicate the performance from their first game of the season, where they scored two or more goals against third-tier competition since.

With six winless games on the road, including three defeats, Hoffenheim’s lack of consistency away from home is a clear vulnerability, especially against a resilient Augsburg side on home soil.

While Augsburg’s head-to-head record against Hoffenheim might give some pause—winning only seven of their 28 matchups—recent history at the WWK Arena speaks differently. Augsburg has emerged victorious in three of their last five home encounters with Hoffenheim, losing just once. Given the home side’s strong current form and Hoffenheim’s struggles, Augsburg or Draw offers value, especially at favourable odds.

With two attack-minded teams facing off, this matchup promises to deliver goals on both sides of the pitch.

Stuttgart, far from reaching the heights of last season’s second place finish, currently sits in eighth, with defensive inconsistencies proving to be their downfall. Despite this, they remain a potent force in attack, especially at the MHP Arena, where they average an impressive 2.75 goals per game.

Their defence, though improved at home, has still been breached frequently, allowing an average of 1.5 goals per game. Stuttgart is yet to keep a clean sheet in at home this season, with both teams scoring in seven of eight competitive fixtures (only their most recent clash with Atalanta missing this mark).

Eintracht Frankfurt, under the guidance of Dino Toppmöller in his second season, has hit a strong rhythm and currently occupies third place, with only two losses across 13 competitive matches this season. Their home form has been particularly explosive, showcased by their recent 7-2 demolition of Bochum.

However, defensive frailties remain a concern, particularly on the road. Frankfurt has yet to display full defensive solidity in away league games, seeing both teams score in all but one of their away league fixtures. This trend of BTTS extends beyond league action, surfacing in two other competitive away matches this season.

The history between Stuttgart and Eintracht Frankfurt only underscores the likelihood of goals at both ends. In 74% of their past 31 encounters, both teams have found the net, with goals scored by each side in eight of their last nine meetings. All signs point toward another open, end-to-end contest filled with attacking action.

As Lazio travel to Monza to face the struggling Serie A outfit, we think backing them to win either half is a great choice.

This selection has been a winner in twelve of Lazio’s last thirteen games across all competitions, including each of the last five. Domestically, Lazio are in fantastic form, coming into this clash with a five-match winning streak. The Aquilotti sit fifth in the league but second in terms of expected points and they should have more than enough quality to outclass Monza.

The home side, on the other hand, find themselves in a relegation battle, having won just a single game this season. No side have created fewer expected goals than Nesta’s side who average just 0.67 per game. From what we’ve seen so far this season, there’s a world of difference between these sides and this is a very generously priced selection.

Girona currently have ten players listed on the injury report, so will have to contend without key players like Ivan Martin, Viktor Tsygankov and Arnaut Danjuma amongst other first teamers. Because of that, they massively struggled midweek in Eindhoven, as PSV capitalised with a 4-0 victory.

Getafe will fancy their chances with the advantage of a longer preparation time. Despite sitting in 16th, Getafe have only lost four games out of 12, as they have accrued the most draws in the league. They are actually unbeaten at home this season, with a record of one win and five draws from six games.

The Coliseum Alfonso Perez Stadium has proven to be a tough visit, as Girona will be fully aware – they lost 1-0 here in the previous campaign.

After a poor start to the season, Real Sociedad have lifted themselves into the top half. However, they have picked up just four points from their six home games, losing four matches already this season.

It was a similar story for them in the previous campaign, as Sociedad managed an identical home and away record, including goal difference. They have generally failed to fully utilise their home support.

Such a record does not bode well, as Barcelona have been in imperious form under Hansi Flick. The Catalans currently lead the league by nine points, boasting 11 wins from their 12 league games.

Barcelona completed the league double over Real Sociedad last season, winning 1-0 at the Reale Arena, before a 2-0 win in the reverse fixture at the Lluis Companys Stadium.