💎 Gem Bet: Phil Foden - Over 1.5 Shots @ 1.40 (Bet365)

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Foden has had 2+ shots in each of his last five Premier League matches, and his tendency to shoot from range could prove particularly valuable to Manchester City here. Foden had five shots and scored in the most recent head to head meeting between these sides as City ran out 3-0 winners at the Etihad, racking up 18 shots in total.

Foden is clearly City’s second biggest goal threat behind Erling Haaland having netted seven goals in the Premier League this season. He’s had 39 shots across his 16 Premier League appearances this season (2.67 per 90) which is a promising average when looking to back him for a few shots here.

Sunderland are yet to lose at home in the Premier League this season, and a large part of that record is how deeply they defend. Robin Roefs has also been a reliable keeper for the Black Cats, meaning that opposition sides tend to have to knock a few times before opening the door to Sunderland's goal.

I can see a similar scenario playing out here with City dominating the ball and looking to find a way through the Sunderland low block. This situation suits Foden with 16 of his 39 shots coming from outside of the box this season (41%). One of the five shots that Foden had against Sunderland in the recent head to head clash came from outside of the box, and it’s another angle worth exploring here.

There is excellent value with this selection when backing with Bet365. The exact same angle is priced as low as 1.14 with other comparable bookmakers.