Kelce is one of, if not the closest Hall of Fame player featuring in Super Bowl LVII. The All-Pro tight end is one of the best pass catchers to grace the game, particularly at his position. He is also renowned for being quite the big game player. In his last Super Bowl, where the Chiefs had just 9 points, Kelce had 133 yards, 60 more than anyone else. He has an exceptional lineup against the Eagles linebackers as Darius Slay and James Bradberry should neutralise the Chiefs receivers. On the other side of things, Devonta Smith could be a threat to this bet as one of the more underrated receivers in the game but with the Eagles run matchup and question marks over Hurts shoulder, they should be a run first offence. Eagles WR1 A.J. Brown has seen just 50 playoff yards compared to Kelce’s 176.

The other tight end on show, Dallas Goedert is also one of the better pass catchers in the league and matches up exceptionally well tonight. The Chiefs allow one of the higher rates of touchdowns against the tight end position as they struggle to cover the middle between the hashes. In the first round of the playoffs, Goedert kick started the Eagles scoring with a stunning one handed catch touchdown against the Giants. Aside from the running threat, Goedert is Hurts’ main red zone choice. He averages 58 yards per game, with the majority of these coming in or around the redzone.

The Eagles have one of the best 4th down offences in the league, converting 1.3 per game on average, the second highest rate in the league. While the Chiefs allow the tied most conversions per game with 1.1. The Eagles are able to convert so many 4th downs due to their dynamic offence, with multiple rushing options like Jalen Hurts who can also throw the ball to his packed receiving core. The Chiefs also have a Quarterback who can make a play out of nothing in Patrick Mahomes. Andy Reid is an experienced play off coach who isn’t afraid to reach into his bag of tricks, shown by a play action pass from Chad Henne to Tyreek Hill on 4th down against the Browns a couple years back. In what should be a shootout, no side will want to lose possession and should opt to go for it on 4th down rather than punt. The Eagles also allowed 0.8 conversion per game, 6th highest.