💎 Gem Bet: Conor Gallagher - Over 1.5 Fouls Committed @ 2.00 (Bet365)

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I am pretty confident that you won’t see this price too regularly for Gallagher to commit 2+ fouls, especially considering that Gallagher is set to line up against one of the most fouled players in the Premier League here. Gallagher has been busy for Tottenham in the middle of the park since making the January move from Atletico Madrid, committing seven fouls across his four appearances in the Premier League for the Lilywhites so far (1.83 per 90).

He maintained an average of 2.44 fouls committed per 90 across his 19 appearances for Atletico Madrid in LaLiga prior to joining Tottenham, and we should see Gallagher stay around this foul rate for the rest of the season. Given that the Premier League is naturally more of an intense and physical league, it’s possible that we see an even greater foul output from Gallagher in the English top flight - he committed 83 fouls across his 37 appearances for Chelsea in his final season before departing for Spain, working out to an average of 2.38 per 90. 

This angle is particularly appealing as Gallagher’s direct opponent here will be Bruno Guimaraes, one of the strongest players in the Premier League when it comes to winning fouls. He’s had to carry Newcastle on his back at points during this campaign, so we can expect him to play a starring role for the away side in this clash. Guimaraes has won 50 fouls across his 21 starts in the Premier League this term (2.33 per 90), making him an ideal candidate to draw fouls from the aggressive Tottenham midfielder. 

This angle is priced as low as 1.5 with other major bookmakers, indicating that we are getting excellent value with taking the same line at 2.0.