Rotherham United v Morecambe
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Tuesday 22nd February – 7:45PM KO
Morecambe have the second leakiest defence in League One and rank fourth bottom for expected goals (xG) against, according to Wyscout. The Shrimps have only kept one clean sheet in their last ten and will have to come out of their shell against the league leaders.
Rotherham United have generated more xG than any other side in the division and sit second for season-long xGA. The Millers have kept a clean sheet in two of their last three home games and will have had a little longer to prepare over the weekend, than they are used to, after drawing 1-1 with second placed Wigan Athletic on Friday evening.
The Millers have scored in 11 of 12 and have threats from all angles. They can breathe a sigh of relief after taking a point from the Wigan encounter, and with a nine point cushion on third place the end is nearly in sight.
Attack is the best form of defence for the Shrimps, although that does mean that they could leave themselves exposed in transition. Rotherham have been consistently the best team in the division this season and will be expecting to make that clear for all observers on Tuesday evening.
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Prediction: Rotherham to Score 2+ Goals, 1.45 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Wycombe Wanderers v Wigan Athletic
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Tuesday 22nd February – 7:45PM KO
Wycombe Wanderers’ fall from grace appears to have gone under the radar a touch due to that of Sunderland. The Chairboys have slid away from the automatic promotion picture, now winless in five, and will be fearing for their top six spot.
Pure carnage occurred at Adams Park on Saturday with Cheltenham Town coming back to earn a 5-5 draw, with Alfie May netting four. The defensive display will certainly have concerned Gareth Ainsworth and we could see a more reserved approach from them in midweek.
That would point towards a low margin game to which Wigan Athletic are very familiar with recently. The Latics have lost just one of their last 16 in League One, conceding one goal or less in all of their last six seeing them rank as the best defensive team in the division for season-long xGA. Leam Richardson’s men have conceded under 0.75 xGA in six of their last seven and will be confident of putting in an assured away performance against the slipping Chairboys.
Wigan are a nice price to win the game outright, but I will be respecting the market and trying to keep more than one match outcome onside.
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Prediction: Wigan Draw No Bet, 1.95 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Charlton Athletic v MK Dons
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Tuesday 22nd February – 7:45PM KO
Injuries in key areas certainly seems to have affected Charlton Athletic, seeing them slump to three consecutive defeats under Johnnie Jackson and they were humiliated by Oxford United on Saturday to a 4-0 scoreline.
Chuks Aneke, Conor Washington and Jayden Stockley remain sidelined at the weekend with Scott Fraser still recovering from coronavirus. Sean Clare will be suspended following his straight red and Akin Famewo has been peculiarly dropped in recent weeks, the Norwich City loanee is the Addicks’ best defender on his day and has been replaced by specialist left back or left wing back Ben Purrington in the back three.
MK Dons have trended as a stronger side away from home this season and took all three points from the Stadium of Light on Saturday. The Dons have lost just once in their last 12 and are the most in-form side in the play-off places at the moment.
Corey Blackett-Taylor is also a sore loss for the hosts with his pace and trickery, Jackson has a lot of head-scratching to do in terms of his team selection for the encounter. There is a lot of anxiety amongst the players and coaching staff due to expiring contracts at the moment.
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Prediction: MK Dons Draw No Bet, 1.75 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
Cambridge United v Plymouth Argyle
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Tuesday 22nd February – 7:45PM KO
The Steven Schumacher revolution has officially begun at Plymouth Argyle and the Pilgrims have profited on the dips in form of Wycombe and Sunderland to solidify a top six spot.
Argyle have stopped reminiscing about the Ryan Lowe days and have won four on the bounce, three of those on their travels, to bolster their goal difference and put themselves in a very strong position with games in hand on those around them.
James Bolton’s return from injury has been huge at the heart of defence. Argyle have kept back-to-back clean sheets and only conceded two shots in their 2-0 win at Gillingham on Saturday.
Cambridge United’s progress has slowed a touch in League One with them sat slap bang mid table with not a lot to play for in the near future. Mark Bonner’s men have been extremely impressive after winning promotion from League Two against the odds last term, but are not as dangerous as they were earlier in the campaign. The U’s are averaging 0.98 xGF per game over their last six and will have their work cut out against an Argyle side that are performing as well as they were when involved in the automatic promotion race in the first few months of the season.
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Prediction: Plymouth Draw No Bet, 1.57 on Betfair (⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
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