There is a real contrast in form between these two teams, and it is the team in excellent form that are the underdogs in the prices, which makes them an attractive option for this column.

This is obviously some continuing rivalry between these two clubs which makes this match something of a keenly contested derby. This can have an affect on home/away trends, and probably plays into Wimbledon’s hands a touch. Indeed, Wimbledon have the recent upper hand over Milton Keynes, with Wimbledon winning the last 3 matches in a row, including being 5-0 up on aggregate on the meetings this season, winning 3-0 at Plough Lane, and then beating MK 2-0 away in the first round of the FA Cup.

Taking that FA Cup match as evidence as well, the kick-off prices for that match were 2.75 for an MK Dons win, and 2.4 for a Wimbledon win, so it was Wimbledon who went off favourites that day. They are currently outsiders here.

It is Wimbledon who look to be challenging for automatic promotion as well. MK were the pre-season favourites for this, but having lost Mike Williamson and brought in Scott Lindsey, there hasn’t been the type of impact that most would’ve expected after that change was made. Indeed, MK haven’t won at home for 4 matches, losing as 1.7 favs vs Gillingham, losing at 2.25 to Notts County, drawing at 2.1 against Crewe and then losing to Salford as 2.35 favourites as well.

That last price against Salford is similar to their current price against Wimbledon. Though Salford have been performing well of late, Wimbledon are generally seen as a better team, and the price should adjust according to that, as well as the effect of the derby.

Wimbledon have won their last 3 in the league, including an away win at Newport for which they were 1.7 favourites, albeit against one of the league’s poorer teams.

By kick-off, the prices will have moved in Wimbledon’s direction.

For both QPR and Sheffield Wednesday to be the same price to win this match feels wrong.

Though it wasn’t that long since QPR were actually bottom of the Championship table, Marti Cifuentes has enacted a big turnaround at Loftus Road, to the extent that, as things stand, it is surprising that QPR would rated lower than Sheffield Wednesday to the extent that home advantage only makes the 2 teams the same price for the win.

QPR’s home form reads as 6 unbeaten, 5 wins in a row, and the results look impressive – 3-0 v Norwich, 2-0 v Oxford, 2-1 v Preston, 3-1 v Watford, and 2-1 v Luton. From a price perspective, they were shorter than their current price against Luton last time out, and against Watford and Oxford, where they went off 1.83. Market expectation is surely with Rangers enough to contract their price to a similar level as it was against Watford (2.5) and Luton (2.35).

Wednesday are a perfectly competent Championship team, with a really strong manager, in many ways, there are inextricable links between QPR and Wednesday given their respective journeys from the Championship relegation zone last season under Cifuentes and Danny Rohl. However, there is little in their results and performances of late that would encourage layers to rate them as much stronger than Rangers, or, indeed the likes of Watford.

We can ignore the away trip to Elland Road from a pricing perspective, but Wednesday were 3.6 going to Coventry before that, a much bigger price than currently, albeit against a team with strong performance data. They were 2.63 at kick-off against Preston recently, and lost that one 3-1, and they were 2.9 at Derby in round 18, a bigger price than they are currently against an in-form QPR.

Notts County feel like they are hitting their best form at the moment, and it could pay to back them early this week.

Bromley have potentially become a bit overrated following a run of form that took them to the edge of the playoffs. In that run they beat a very out of form Gillingham (twice), Newport, Morecambe, and Accrington, a list of relegation battlers. More recently, they have been convincingly beaten 1-4 at Crewe, and were beaten by Colchester at home last week.

Notts have re-found their goalscoring ways recently. They beat Bromley 4-2 in the return fixture early in the season, but their recent goals fo reads 3 (most recent), 2, 1, 5, 2, 3.

County went off 1.67 in their last home match against Swindon, but it is difficult to get a very good handle on what they should be at home against a team rated similarly to Bromley, in current form.

Perhaps a similar fixture to this came in Week 11 when Bromley went to Walsall, the prices that day had Walsall at 1.62. Notts were 1.91 v Gillingham in Week 7, after Gillingham had a decent start to the season.

This very much fits into the “home team accumulator” group of fixtures for the weekend though, and there has been a lot of success for this column in getting these matches onside earlier in the week.