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Value Bets – 6/1 EFL Football Tips and Predictions for Today [September 27th Fixtures]

Value Bets – 6/1 EFL Football Tips and Predictions for Today [September 27th Fixtures]

Tuesday 9 September, 20251 min read
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ABC Editorial Team

The ABC Editorial Team have a combined Sports Journalism experience of 20+ years. They love to crunch the numbers for all betting predictions, meticulously finding value in each selection. Football experts in their own right, they each bring specialists sports and leagues to the table. Whether it be football, horse racing, boxing, darts, or NFL, our team is equipped to bring you the most insightful and valuable betting tips around.

Back Saturday's Value Bets Double @ 6.58 with bet365

🏆 Preston to Win v Bristol City @ 2.80
🏆 Walsall to Win v Accrington @ 2.35

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Saturday's Value Bets

  • Preston v Bristol City
  • Championship
  • 15:00
1 Selections @ 2.80

Preston to Win

The Lilywhites have actually been excellent at home so far this season, both from a result and a performance perspective.

Preston beat Leicester and dominated the xG count whilst doing so, they then defeated Ipswich, and only a last-gasp equaliser prevented them from turning the early league leaders, Middlesbrough.

Since then, they have added the scalp of Derby, away from home no less, with another excellent defensive display. All of this doesn’t seem to have overly impressed the bookmakers, who have Bristol City as favourites to win this match.

I like Bristol City myself, but dispassionately looking at the form against the prices, I really think that Gerhard Struber’s men are currently overestimated in the market. On a neutral venue, Bristol City are being seen as a strong favourite in this match according to current odds. Either Bristol City are overrated here, or Preston’s home advantage is not in for enough of the prices.

Bristol City had two impressive back-to-back wins, but they were against Hull and Sheffield Wednesday; they were distinctly second best at home to Oxford on Sunday as well. The Yellows added to their goals in injury time, but they were worthy of the victory, and I think that Preston will have been able to take something from that Oxford display for themselves.

bet365
A £10 bet on this value tip returns £28 if it wins.
Load bet @ 2.80
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  • Accrington v Walsall
  • League Two
  • 15:00
1 Selections @ 2.35

Walsall to Win

Walsall are a bigger price than I expected them to be.

Accrington have managed to pick up a couple of results to ease the pressure on John Doolan and the club, giving them some distance from relegation, but those results don’t massively upgrade what I thought about Accrington beforehand. They are a bottom-half League Two team, who could get into midtable, but, in my mind, not much more than that.

Conversely, I believe Walsall to be a promotion contender. They were league leaders for many weeks last season, famously, and I have seen little this season to dissuade me that they are capable of another promotion challenge this campaign. Their 4-2 victory over Tranmere, along with the performance, upgraded Walsall slightly in my mind into that upper echelon in League Two.

Accrington were a similar price against Colchester recently, but I would rate Walsall at a higher level than Colchester. Therefore, I am expecting the price to be nearer 2.0-2.1 come matchday.

bet365
A £10 bet on this value tip returns £23.50 if it wins.
Load bet @ 2.35
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What is a Value Bet?

A value bet is simply a bet where we believe the likelihood of the bet winning is greater than the implied probability of the odds. Odds of evens have an implied probability of 50% that the bet wins. This knowledge allows us to get ahead of the odds, potentially shortening and, therefore, find value.

Value bets is an article where we tip selections earlier in advance of the event than we do otherwise on-site, to maximise our chances of spotting value by picking bets earlier in the week that we believe will shorten in odds by the time kick-off arrives, in aiming to beat the closing line.

Enhance your punting potential ahead of the EFL weekend by equipping yourself with the best Free Betting Offers to utilise on our Expert Football Predictions, which include EFL Football Tips.


Tips for Exchange Betting

Odds tend to move more on betting exchanges, and the Betfair Exchange is a great place to make the most of that. If you've never used the exchange before, here is an explainer video to get you up to speed.

How to use The Betfair Exchange | Trading Football with Dimitar Berbatov.


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Written by an Andy verified content writer

A value bet is a bet in which the odds, and implied probability, of the outcome have been underestimated by the bookmaker. For example, if you can justify that there is a 60% chance (1.67 odds) that Man Utd win but the bookie's odds are at 2.0 (50% chance) then you have found value.
Value betting is a betting strategy that increases your chances of turning a profit, beating the bookmaker, in the long term. Winning a bet at odds of 1.80 that is priced elsewhere, or goes off, at 1.60 is the way to go - finding overpriced bets with regularity.