This is a wager based on what I expect the big syndicates will make of the opening day displays from both teams, as well as some slightly concerning injuries to Blackburn’s new signings Dion De Neve and Lewis Miller.

Those injuries could turn out to be ok, but the Blackburn squad is already fairly thin, and any concerns in this area are unwelcome. There are also rumours swirling around the future of captain Lewis Travis, something that could unsettle at best ahead of this match on Saturday.

Birmingham may continue to add strength to their squad as well, but they looked impressive enough as it was on Friday night. They were the better side taking the match as a whole against the league favourites, and this should entitle them to be a shorter price here.

Blackburn created very little against West Brom, and it is difficult to see how that will improve until Todd Cantwell is back to full fitness. The loss of Tyrhys Dolan and the lack of quality in recruitment is a real concern, and it would feel unlikely to get this price later in the season when these things become more apparent.

This is a fairly staggering price to me. 

Blackpool have conceded seven goals in two League One matches, and whilst that is obviously going to improve over time, it is a bold move to make them favourites over a Huddersfield side who have won both of their League One matches so far.

If we consider Huddersfield and Blackpool promotion prices to be somewhat representative of how we can expect them to do this season, then Huddersfield's 2.1 price should give them far more credit than Blackpool's 8.0. However, the price differential, giving Blackpool the edge in match price, seems to give an outrageous amount of credit to Blackpool's home advantage.

It is true that Blackpool only lost five from 23 home matches last season, but they also drew 11 of them. They weren't especially strong at home, indeed, they won more points away from home.

Blackpool have deserved to concede those goals as well, they have lost both League One matches on xG.

Huddersfield’s new team have shown that they can be ruthless enough in front of goal to capitalise on this.

I expect Huddersfield to be near favourites for this match by kick-off.

I am really concerned about Crawley.

They were, deservedly, a drifter against Newport and even though they were still 1.62 favourites at kick-off, they lost the match, and it wasn't a huge surprise either.

The miraculous run that Crawley went on under Scott Lindsey is beginning to look more anomalous by the week, as Lindsey struggled badly at MK Dons to make them look like a coherent League Two side last season, and it looks similar at Crawley again now. Add in to this the concerns off the field in terms of a change in direction, and there is potential here for immediate issues.

Crewe are currently the same price that Grimsby went off against Crawley on opening day, and since then, Crawley have conceded five goals, scoring one consolation, whereas Crewe have looked very together and very organised under Lee Bell.

So, whilst there was very little between the teams in the pre-season markets, the on-pitch evidence has been poles apart, and I think that Crewe will see the benefit of support closer to kick-off.