It was a surprise to see Blackpool priced up so short for this match. The Seasiders have only 2 two home games this season, none since September, and none for their current manager Steve Bruce.

In fact, Blackpool have just set the all-time Football League record for consecutive draws at home with 8. As such it can be difficult to accurately assess their form, however, it would be fair to say that they are not reliably dominating games at Bloomfield Road.

Crawley’s recent bare form doesn’t necessarily look that strong, but, when you dig a little deeper, there are a number of reasons why they will end up earning support ahead of kick-off here.

They have only 2 wins in eight in 2025, against Mansfield away and Stevenage at home, 2 teams comparable to Blackpool in terms of league position. They have drawn twice as well in this time period, so this means that this double chance recommendation would have landed in half of Crawley’s matches in 2025.

Crawley’s 2025 defeats have all been against good League One teams. They were 3-1 up at Bolton and conceded a 100th-minute winner to lose 4-3, they lost 2-1 to Wrexham, 2-0 to Stockport, and 3-0 to Barnsley on the 4th January. So whilst they may not have taken points away from the bigger teams in the league, they have been in the games, especially recently, and they have got results against mid table teams.

The final thing to consider here in favour of Crawley is pricing. Crawley were priced 5.50 at Bolton in gameweek 31, a shorter price than they currently are (6.0) against a team that haven’t won at home since September. Crawley were 6.0 against Mansfield, at the time, Mansfield were upper mid table and not in the wretched form they currently are.

Indeed, 5.50 is a very regular price to expect for Crawley to win an away game in League One this season. They were this price at Barnsley, Leyton Orient, and Charlton. All of these teams have better home records and would be higher rated than Blackpool, so there is definite room for Crawley to shorten and make the double chance a shorter price as well.

Richie Wellens has been doing a magnificent job with Orient, and they have stormed up the league to the extent that they look a good bet for a play-off place at the moment.

That play-off place would’ve been expected to have been Bolton’s at the beginning of the season, and it still may well be, as Steven Schumacher has been able to produce a couple of wins since his appointment, but there is still an inconsistency of results, and in their performances as well.

Orient are currently above Bolton in the league, level on points but with a +17 better goal difference and a game in hand as well. There is nothing between the teams in terms of form either, with both having 4 wins in their last 5 in League One, so the discrepancy in price seems slightly too weighted in Bolton’s favour here.

When looking through historical kick-off prices it reinforces the theory that Bolton seem a touch short here. Wanderers went off 2.1 at home to Charlton, another team level on 50 pts, and 2.15 at home to Lincoln. Neither team were in the form that Orient have displayed recently either.

This will be Orient’s first away game since January, and only their 4th in their last 12 matches in all competitions, so it is fairly difficult to accurately price them from that perspective. A comparable match may be going to Barnsley in December, in which Orient went off 2.88. At the time of writing, Orient are currently 3.25 at Wrexham on Tuesday night, at least the equal difficulty of going to Bolton, if not more so.

There is definite scope to see Orient move closer to 3.0 for this match, potentially under that line as well depending on how Wellens’ team perform on Tuesday night.

This match is very much in the realm of the Saturday 3pm home banker. A match such as this will be involved in a lot of accas on Saturday, and a lot of bookmaker liability could rest on this match, which often has the effect of shortening the price on the home team to protect the amount of money that multiplies put onto it from other accumulator legs.

Even as a single this current price is very much in the backable range. Notts County could easily be shorter for this given the respective form of the 2 teams.

The Magpies are hunting for promotion, and have a lot of teams around them to outrun for a top 3 spot, so maximum points here is an absolute must. They have won 3 of their last 4 home matches, and drawn the other. They went off 1.48 against Morecambe last time out at home, and Morecambe beat Tranmere 2-0 on New Year’s Day.

They were also 1.5 against Carlisle, who are perenially overpriced, and 1.67 against Swindon, who are proving themselves to be a much better team than Tranmere at the moment.

Indeed, Tranmere are the worst team in the league over the last 8 matches of points per game, picking up only 3 points from the last 24 available. All 3 points were home draws as well, which indicates how poor their away form has been.

Tranmere have lost their last 9 away matches in all competitions, and they have lost by more than 1 goal in their last 7 away matches in League Two.

Against 1 of the best teams in the competition, we suspect that the price could move drastically in Notts County’s direction here. Potentially Stuart Maynard’s team could go off at less than 1.5 from their current 1.67.