💎 Gem Bet: Morgan Rogers - Over 1.5 Shots @ 1.72 (Bet365)

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We backed this exact same angle during the week @ 1.50 and it sailed in, the research looks just as solid for Rogers this weekend.

Morgan Rogers is having a brilliant season and you can see the confidence that he’s playing with reflected in his shot numbers over recent weeks. Rogers has had 2+ shots in each of his last five Premier League appearances, with two of these games seeing him record shot counts of five and seven. 

Across the season as a whole, Rogers has had 40 shots across his 21 Premier League appearances (1.93 per 90). His recent spike in shots coincides with Aston Villa’s brilliant run of form with their only defeat in the last few months being a loss against the league leaders away from home - a game where Rogers still managed to get two shots away. 

Rogers scored a brilliant goal in the initial league meeting between the sides, he didn’t quite manage to get two shots away in that clash - but that game was right at the beginning of Rogers’ upturn in form and he has settled into a more consistent shot pattern since that clash. Villa also underperformed their shot average in that game with Unai Emery’s side only having eight shots in total. I’d expect Villa to have a few more attempts in this clash with the confidence they carry into this cup tie. 

There is decent value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the same angle is priced as low as 1.44 with other major bookmakers - suggesting that we’re getting a strong price on Villa’s joint top scorer in the Premier League to have at least two shots in this FA Cup clash.