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West Ham United v Leeds United
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Sunday afternoon sees Leeds travel to London to face West ham in a crucial match for their Premier League hopes. It is a must win match for the visitors who have beaten the Hammers just once since 2005 (eight games). These two sides played out an entertaining 2-2 draw at Elland Road in the reverse fixture this season.
This is mostly an exercise in avoiding injuries for the Hammers, especially with their semi-final having been played only three days earlier; but for Leeds, this game looks like it could be do-or-die. With Spurs to visit Elland Road on the final day of the season, this should be the easier of the two fixtures they have remaining in this Premier League season.
However, with a European final on the horizon, it should not be forgotten that the rotated West Ham players will be playing hard to impress the manager as they attempt to earn some playing time in Prague next month.
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Hammers chasing European glory
West Ham are coming into this one on the back of a famous 1-0 win at AZ Almaar which booked their place in the UEFA Conference League final in Prague in what will be their first major European cup final since 1976. Their Premier League form has toiled recently, losing four of their last five games but Hammers fans will not care with their safety all but ensured.
Their focus will now be on their matchup with Fiorentina on the 7th of June and David Moyes will want to keep his team fresh for that game, whilst also trying to build some momentum heading into it. With two winnable fixtures, here against Leeds and at Leicester, to come, Moyes will be desperate to be travelling to the Czech Republic on the back of three consecutive wins and five wins in six in all competitions.
West Ham United team news
The Scotsman has no fresh injury concerns from that game but given that he will want a healthy squad for that all-important final, he may rotate in the final two games of the Premier League season.
I am really pleased to be at this club and in its big history.
I am really happy to write our names in another chapter.
Thursday night’s goalscorer Pablo Fornals speaks about his pride after his goal confirms West Ham’s place in a first European final for 47 years
Gianluca Scamacca will be ruled out with a knee injury having already had surgery on it. Rotation could see Pablo Fornals, Manuel Lanzini, Danny Ings, Vladimir Coufal and Emerson come into the starting 11.
Big Sam has improved Leeds, but is it too late?
Leeds arrive in London without a win in seven and in trouble. They salvaged a draw against Newcastle last time out but it could have been much better.
Patrick Bamford missed a 28th minute penalty to go 2-0 up and maybe out of sight, only for Callum Wilson to score from 12 yards three minutes later. Rasmus Kristensen’s equaliser 11 minutes from the end of the match will have given Sam Allardyce confidence but with two games to go, draws may not be enough for Leeds to stay up.
That result leaves them in 18th, one point above Leicester in 19th but one below Everton, who play on Saturday, in 18th. They are also three adrift of Nottingham Forest, who also play before Leeds. In the final round of fixtures, Forest travel to Crystal Palace, whilst Everton, Leicester and Leeds host Bournemouth, West Ham and Spurs respectively.
If Everton win and Forest avoid defeat on Saturday, a defeat would send Leeds down before next Sunday’s action.
Leeds United team news
In the last few minutes of that draw with Newcastle, Junior Firpo was sent off for a second yellow card and that means he will be suspended here, whilst Tyler Adams, Stuart Dallas and Luis Sinisterra will also miss out. Marc Roca is a doubt but Liam Cooper could return from his groin injury here.
Do or die lads, fight to the end, but fight with the right temperament, the right amount of control and don’t lose the game plan.
Sam Allardyce’s message to the Leeds players ahead of this crucial clash
West Ham United v Leeds United Cheat Sheet
With heavy rotation likely, West Ham will need an attacking spark, and as the Cheat Sheet demonstrates, that is likely to come from either Maxwel Cornet or Danny Ings. Both could be could options in the shot or shot on target bet builder markets.
Vladimir Coufal commits more fouls than any other West Ham player, and he will be facing off against Jack Harrison, who draws the third-most fouls of any Leeds player. If you are looking for a play in the foul and card markets, this looks a great option if the teams line up as we expect.
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West Ham United v Leeds United bet builder tips
West Ham United v Leeds United
Rodrigo has been Leeds’ main threat in front of goal this season, scoring 12 league goals – seven more than any other player. It is unsurprising, therefore, that he has also had the most shots on target, 24, and had the most attempts, 62. He averages 3.18 shots per 90 with 1.23 of these on target.
He has started 22 games this season, and in his last 14 starts, he has had 15 attempts on target and this selection has landed in nine. In the reverse fixture, the Spaniard had four attempts, with three of those on target and he also found the back of the net.
Including that game, he has started three times against West Ham, having ten shots with seven on target and he has had at least two on target in every one of those matches.
West Ham have played 12 home games in 2023 and have found the back of the net in every single one of those games, amassing a total of 24 goals – an average of two per game. However, they have been more suspect that the back as well. In their last six home games, they have conceded 11 goals with their only clean sheet coming against Manchester United, who had a total of 1.2 expected goals and were unlucky not to score.
In their last 11 Premier League matches, 16 teams have found the back of the net and 17 have accumulated at least one expected goal for. After a midweek trip to the Netherlands, the Hammers players will be more fatigued than their opponents and this should allow the visitors more opportunities.
Leeds have seen plenty of goals at both ends of the pitch. Both sides have scored in each of their last 11 matches and Leeds are without a clean sheet since the end of February. In those 11 games, they have conceded at least 1.7 expected goals in 10 of them and at least 2.6 xG in six.
They have scored eight goals in their last five away games, including trips to Manchester City and to Arsenal. The reverse fixture saw both teams score in both halves as Leeds accumulated 1.6 expected goals and West Ham 1.4.
With a tough final game of the season to come, this is a must win game for Leeds and they must go for it against a West Ham side who’s focus may be elsewhere.
West Ham have picked up just four cards across their last six matches and have been shown two cards in a game just once in that time. In four of their last nine matches, they have not received a card and in just two they have been shown two or more.
They have received three or more cards just twice since November. In the reverse fixture, they were shown just one cards. The reverse fixture saw Leeds pick up three cards whilst West Ham had just one.
Leeds, on the other hand, have been shown plenty of yellow cards. In their last five matches, they have received 15 yellow cards and one red card and have had three or more in four of those.
In Allardyce’s two matches in charge, Leeds have been shown eight cards. By direct comparison, in all competitions West Ham have been shown 73 cards across their 54 games this season (1.35 per game) whilst Leeds have received 94 in their 42 matches (2.24 per game).
The referee for this one is Peter Bankes, who across his career shows 1.76 cards per game to home sides and 2.15 to away teams. In the Premier League this season, he has shown away sides an average of 0.95 cards per game more than home sides (1.80-2.75).
In his three most recent West Ham games, he has shown the Hammers four bookings whilst in his last four Leeds games, he has shown the Whites eight cards – with at least two in every one of those games.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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