Newcastle games average 2.22 goals so far this season, falling slightly to 2.15 away from home. On the road, they have kept a clean sheet in 38% of their matches and both teams have scored in just 54%. Just two of their last ten games have seen three or more goals. Only their opponents here, West Ham (27), have seen fewer goals in away games than Newcastle’s 28 this season.

West Ham games also see very few goals, averaging 2.19 every matchday. At the London Stadium, this rises to 2.29, but even then there have been three or more goals in just 21% of games. This selection has landed in all but one of their home league games since the World Cup break. Just Chelsea (28), Everton (30), and Wolves (31) have seen fewer goals than West Ham’s 32 at their home stadium this season. The return fixture finished 1-1 and saw this selection land.

Said Benrahma is West Ham’s joint top scorer in the Premier League this season, along with Jarrod Bowen on four goals, despite playing 901 fewer minutes than the Englishman. He has had 52 shots with 17 on target in his 1519 minutes, an average of 3.08 shots per 90 (1.01 on target). In the 20 matches where he has played 59 minutes or more this season, he has had 58 shots (2.90 per game) with 21 of those on target – just over one per game. This selection has landed in 15 of them. In his last five matches that he has played 59 or more minutes, the forward has scored twice, registering three assists.

The Algerian has also amassed 17 shots with nine on target in those games, with this selection landing in all five. In his three starts against Newcastle, he has had five shots, including one on target, with one goal and one assist. The forward has an exemplary record on penalties, scoring all three of his attempts this season, and has never missed one he has taken in the league for Cheateroux, Brentford or West Ham (9/9). He is also the free-kick taker for the London club, having had five shots from such situations so far this season.

Newcastle have taken 187 corners this season, the most of any team ahead of Manchester City (184) and Arsenal (177). The northern side average 6.08 corners per game away from home and this selection has landed in 62% of their games. They have also had six or more corners in 46%, seven or more in 38%, and eight or more in 23%. Across their last ten in the league (both home and away), they have at least five corners in eight of them and at least seven in exactly half. They have had seven corners in three of their last five games against the Hammers.

West Ham have conceded an average of 4.67 corners per game this season. In 70% of their games they have given away four corners and in just under half (44%) their opponents have seen this selection land. Given Newcastle’s very high average corner count, and that they need the points, the visitors should be in the ascendancy.

Newcastle games have averaged 4.04 cards this season, rising to 4.31 away from home. As visitors, there have been three or more cards shown in 77% of their games and in eight of the last ten, including in each of the last five. They have been shown at least three cards in three of their last five and drawn three bookings in three of them too.

The referee for this one is Craig Pawson who averages 3.98 cards per game across his career, rising to 4.18 in his 17 Premier League games this season, with this market landing in 76% of those games. His last three matches have seen 16 cards and this selection has landed in nine of his last 11 games. He has officiated four games involving these two sides this season, showing 16 cards in those games (four per game) and this selection has landed in three of the four.

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