💎 Gem Bet: Doherty 1+ Foul Committed @ 1.61 (Bet365)

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Matt Doherty committed three fouls and was shown a yellow card in Wolves’ opening gameof the season against Manchester City. He’s generously priced to commit a foul in Wolves’ first away game of the season against Bournemouth - a fixture that saw 26 fouls, six yellow cards and a red card last year. Doherty committed a foul in that game, and was also shown a yellow card.  

These were the two most aggressive sides in the Premier League last season:

Wolves - 12.6 fouls committed per game (2nd in PL)
Bournemouth - 13.8 fouls committed per game (1st in PL)

These numbers indicate that we can expect quite a feisty affair between these two sides at this early stage of the season. Two of the three head to head meetings between the sides last season saw red cards and all three of these matches saw at least 24 combined fouls between the sides.

Doherty only started one of these head to head clashes which was the game in which he was booked. He committed 18 fouls across his 25 Premier League starts last season (0.77 per 90) and is likely to line up against Antoine Semenyo here who was a real handful against Liverpool in the opening game of the season, scoring twice as well as winning one foul from the 19 duels he contested. Brooks and Semenyo switched wings often against Liverpool which also means that Doherty will be faced up by David Brooks at times here who averaged 1.71 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League last season. 

There is real value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same pick is priced around 1.3 on other comparable bookmakers.