💎 Gem Bet: Mateus Fernandes - Over 0.5 Shots @ 1.57 (Bet365)

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Mateus Fernandes has been one of West Ham’s better players in what has been a tough season for the Hammers so far. He’s had 11 shots across his 16 Premier League starts (0.74 per 90) with this tally returning two goals.

Fernandes is the most advanced of the West Ham midfield with Nuno Espírito Santo landing on a three man midfield of Fernandes, Potts and Magassa in recent matches. 

Fernandes is the most likely to get forward of this trio, and should have more chances than usual to get a shot away here against a Wolves side that have conceded 23 goals across their nine home matches this term (2.55 per game) - more than any other side in the division. 

Wolves have conceded 10+ shots in seven of their nine home matches this season, with only Brentford and Leeds failing to cover this shot line. I can see Fernandes getting chances around the edge of the box here, Rob Edwards hasn’t improved much at Wolves - but they do have a slightly better defensive structure which can encourage Fernandes to take aim from range.

Fernandes had 42 shots across his 36 Premier League appearances for a struggling Southampton side last season (1.29 per 90), which further suggests that he can get just the one shot away here. 

There is decent value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same angle is priced as low as 1.2 with other comparable bookmakers.