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Wrexham v Mansfield Bet Builder Tips, Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 29 March, 20242 min read
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Wrexham v Mansfield

📅
Kick Off: Friday 29th March at 15:00
🏆
Competition: League Two
📺
Watch Live: Sky Sports Football

Good Friday provides a rare opportunity to witness a televised 3pm kick-off in the EFL, as we head to the Racecourse where Wrexham will host league leaders Mansfield. Our football coverage this Easter weekend also includes a variety EFL betting predictions and EFL accumulator tips. As ever on Andy's Bet Club we also have a huge range of football tips and expert betting predictions from outside the EFL to help you bag a winner.

Before you place your bets though, make sure to browse our carefully curated selection of free bets and all of the best bet builder bookmaker offers to make your money work for you.

The winner of this clash between 3rd and 1st in League Two will take a big step to achieving the goal that they set at the beginning of the season, promotion to League One.

The top three, when you include Stockport alongside these two, seem to have separated themselves from the rest in the chase for promotion, and with three automatic slots available in League Two, a victory in this fixture would put either side into a strong position with only six games left.

Mansfield have lost only six times in League Two all season and are currently leading the way. Nigel Clough has had a number of attempts to lead the Stags back into League One, but all that experience could come into play in the next few weeks.

Wrexham are obviously the biggest story in the division this season from a global perspective. It is impossible to say that they haven’t had the drama that is required for the television production around the club to be a success. A dramatic failure in season one, followed by record-breaking glory, and now what looks to be an exciting end to season three as well.

There are a lot of experienced heads in the Wrexham dressing room though, and they will feel confident that they can produce when it really matters.

Wrexham v Mansfield Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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🏆 Match stats: Wrexham at home are a difficult challenge

The type of season that Mansfield have put together in terms of performance data would usually see them streaking clear at the top of any league. The Stags sit top of the performance metrics for goals scored, goals conceded, expected goals, shots on target per match and big chances created. Only Stockport have conceded a lower xG against (xGA) total than Mansfield over the course of the season as well. Since the turn of the year, it is Mansfield and Wrexham who are first and second in the expected points table. Wrexham have put up the fourth best xGA numbers in the league in that period, but have done well at managing each game as it comes. Indeed, the strength of the task faced by the league leaders here is the toughest in League Two. Wrexham have the best PPG of any home team, and they haven’t lost the xG battle at home in their last ten home matches. Mansfield, for their part, have won six of their last ten away, and only lost the xG battle to Wimbledon in that time. Their demolition of Bradford at Valley Parade last time out actually contributed hugely to their positive data as they created 5.6 xGF and allowed only 1 xGA. It is a tough one to call, as Mansfield have the best underlying data, but with Wrexham’s home record there is a real challenge to overcome. The draw is a big runner here, but Mansfield would be the smartest team to lean towards.

Predictions:

⚽ Mansfield double chance @ 1.44

⚽ Both teams to score @ 1.50

🥅 Goalscorer stats: Swan to bite the Dragons

Mansfield have been the most destructive side in the league and it is tempting to get one of their forwards onside for this match, despite Wrexham’s excellent defensive record. Davis Keillor-Dunn was a tempting option, but Will Swan actually has a better goals-per-minute ratio than DKD and is a slightly bigger price. Swan has scored in three of his last four matches and has seven in nine in League Two. From a Wrexham perspective, Paul Mullin has been excellent since his return from a freak injury in pre-season. Mullin will likely start the game and he has six goals in his last five matches, including a hat-trick. He is the obvious choice for Wrexham, but Steven Fletcher is also worth a look. The veteran has been used as more of an impact sub, which is understandable, but his quality is still impressive for the level and his impact has been excellent. He has the best goals-per-minute ratio in the Wrexham squad, and he would be a good bet in-play or as the last goalscorer when that market becomes available.

Predictions:

⚽ Will Swan to score anytime @ 3.50

⚽ Paul Mullin to score first @ 4.50

🚩 Corners stats: Home corner line tempting

Wrexham are favourites in the corner match betting market, and this is understandable, but their price appeals. The Red Dragons’ 6.74 home corner average is actually the second-best in League Two, behind Mansfield of course, and is something that they use very well, scoring 17 set piece goals from their total of 70. With the size of their central defenders and the target man that they often use, it is a tactic of there's to play for corners where possible. Mansfield are no slouches themselves when it comes to set pieces, also having scored 17 from set pieces this season. However, Wrexham concede an average of 4 corners at home, and Mansfield aren’t as strong at winning corners away from home as they are at Field Mill, dropping down to 5.2 per match from over 7 per home outing.

Predictions:

⚽ Wrexham corner match bet @ 1.73

* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.

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