Sunday Euro Cross-Match Longshot @ 71.50
Balogun comes into this game in brilliant form having netted in each of his last four Ligue 1 matches. This has taken his overall tally to nine goals for the season, acting as Monaco’s top scorer domestically.
Balogun’s run of form was interrupted by the international break, but I think he’ll pick up where he left off and have chances to find the back of the net here. Balogun scored four goals across just seven starts last season, in a season defined by injury, but showed that he is pretty lethal in this division.
Monaco have scored 29 goals across their 14 home games in Ligue 1 this term (2.07 per game), so they shouldn’t have too many problems when it comes to providing Balogun with service.
Marseille are a very aggressive side, which isn’t always the case for sides battling for European spots, but they’ve collected 61 cards in Ligue 1 this term with only Toulouse (63) picking up more cards than the away side here.
Hojbjerg has been a reliable performer for Marseille this season, and gets through quite a lot of work in central areas. He’s committed 25 fouls across his 23 starts in Ligue 1 this season (1.07 per 90), picking up three yellow cards in the process.
His battle against Lamine Camara should be particularly interesting for this angle, with the Senegalese midfielder winning 40 fouls across his 16 starts in Ligue 1 this term (2.59 per 90).
Donyell Malen has adapted seamlessly to Serie A, netting seven goals across just 10 starts since joining Roma from Aston Villa. Malen’s speed is often highlighted as his strongest attribute, but he’s an excellent finisher and actually produced a fairly consistent standard in front of goal when he did play for Villa.
Malen has already scored against the likes of Bologna, Como, Napoli and Juventus - so he’s not padding his stats against the minnows of the division, he’s scoring against decent defenders which makes him a good option to find the back of the net in this clash as Roma take on the league leaders.
Malen has already become Roma’s top scorer in Serie A this season, eclipsing the likes of Soule and Wesley despite playing over 10 games fewer than his teammates.
Roma have been quite aggressive as a team in Serie A this season, averaging 14.6 fouls committed per game - which is the third highest tally in the Italian top flight this term. This foul count has resulted in 55 yellow cards (1.83 per game) which are both tallies that Roma exceeded in the initial league meeting between the sides, committing 18 fouls and picking up three yellow cards.
Cristante avoided a booking in that game, but did commit one foul from the 11 duels he contested. He should be busy here with Inter usually lining up with a midfield three that can outnumber Roma in central areas. Cristante has picked up six yellow cards across his 28 starts in Serie A this season, only Mancini (9) has picked up more yellow cards for Roma in Serie A this season.
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Man City v Crystal Palace Foul Matchup @ 0.00
Crystal Palace’s Adam Wharton has been committing fouls regularly of late, having fouled at least once in 11 of his last 14 Premier League starts (79%).
During this run, the central midfielder has committed two or more fouls on six occasions, including Palace’s last match against Everton in which Wharton fouled three times.
The England international is an aggressive presser off the ball and is likely to spend large periods of tonight’s match at the Etihad without possession.
Wharton will be keen to impress against one of the Premier League’s top sides, especially with the England World Cup selection just around the corner, and I anticipate this resulting in an increased likelihood of fouls.
Bernardo Silva has been fouled in three of Man City’s last four Premier League matches.
His elusive dribbling ability has long made the Portuguese playmaker skilled at drawing fouls, with Bernardo fouled in the previous meeting against Palace at Selhurst Park back in December.
Overall this season, Bernardo has been fouled 17 times across 31 Premier League appearances (55%), including in City’s last two home matches against Brentford and Arsenal.
Against a high-pressing Palace side featuring dynamic midfielders such as Wharton and Daichi Kamada, I’m backing Bernardo to draw at least one foul at the Etihad.
⚡️ Super Boost: Man City To Win & Man City Most Shots on Target @ 2.00
Man City simply must beat Crystal Palace to keep the pressure on Arsenal at the top of the Premier League table and I expect them to do so.
Pep Guardiola’s City are unbeaten at home in the Premier League since their first Etihad match of the season — a 2-0 defeat to Spurs — and have won six of their last seven games in front of their own supporters.
Compared to hosts City, 15th-placed Crystal Palace don’t appear to have much to play for in the league, with the visitors’ focus likely to instead be on the Conference League final against Rayo Vallecano later this month.
City ran out comprehensive 3-0 winners in the reverse meeting this season at Selhurst Park in December and I foresee another comfortable victory here.
At this Boosted price, I am also happy to back City to have more shots on target in each half against Palace.
At home in the Premier League this season, City have averaged 6.80 shots on target per game, comfortably surpassing Palace’s away average of 3.75.
There is still the possibility that this season’s title race between City and Arsenal is decided by goal difference which should ensure Guardiola’s side are programmed to go for the jugular against Palace here.
⚡️ Super Boost: Jeremy Doku 1+ Shots on Target @ 2.00
In-form Jeremy Doku has scored in each of his last three games for City, managing at least two shots on target in each of his last two games.
The Belgian has had a shot on target in four of his last five matches for Manchester City in all competitions.
The winger is averaging 0.76 shots on target per 90 in the Premier League this season.
Doku has developed into a key attacking weapon for City in the Premier League title race and I’m expecting him to be at the fore again up against a Crystal Palace side who don’t appear to have much to play for domestically.