💎 Gem Bet: Lewis-Potter 1+ shots
Chelsea v Brentford
Brentford’s Keane Lewis-Potter is priced at 1.73 with Sky Bet to have at least 1 shot against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge. This is dramatically out of sync with other bookmakers. Bet365 have him priced at 1.18 in this market, while Paddy Power go with 1.25.
Sky Bet’s price implies that there is a 57.9% probability that the left-sided defender will have at least 1 shot, yet his statistics this season show that this is considerably underestimating him. He has 1.05 shots per 90 in the Premier League this season.
Lewis-Potter has had at least 1 shot in 6 of Brentford’s 7 Premier League away games (86.7%) this season and 7 in 8 (87.5%) overall. These have often been against high-quality opponents: Liverpool, Manchester City, Tottenham and Manchester United.
Although he has often played as a left-back in recent weeks, he was used a little further forward last weekend against Newcastle as Thomas Frank shuffled his side into a back 3, Lewis-Potter managed a shot in that match. This is the system likely to be used against Chelsea.
Averages 83 minutes per start and has the added attribute of being able to play left wing if Brentford are chasing the game late on – a couple of facts that increase the chances of the 23-year-old getting at least 1 shot away.
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