Betfair have priced Lukeba at evens for a single foul tonight, a big price difference to Sky Bet who see this as a 1.40 shot.

Lukeba has started, and played the full 90 minutes, in three of Leipzig’s four matches in the Champions League this season and has committed four fouls in those three matches. He’s also managed to pick up two bookings in the competition. He’s already fouled against each of Liverpool, Juventus and Atletico Madrid, and will be up against a similar level of opposition here.

Lukeba is averaging 1.33 fouls per Champions League game. His overall 24/25 average is much lower at 0.74 fouls per 90, but this is because Leipzig are generally more dominant in possession and territory in the Bundesliga.

Likely opponents Lautaro Martinez and Mehdi Taremi are averaging 1.83 and 1.1 fouls against them per 90 respectively this season. Martinez was fouled twice against Arsenal, despite only playing around an hour.

Orban will play alongside Lukeba in the Leipzig central defence, and has committed a foul in three of his four Champions League matches this season. Betfair have him at 1.73 for a foul, meaning the double pays 3.49 – compared to Sky Bet’s 2.20.