Felix Nmecha’s odds of 1.62 at Sky Bet to have one shot for Borussia Dortmund against Bayer Leverkusen in Friday’s Bundesliga match look extremely attractive.

The BVB midfielder is priced at 1.33 at Bet365 to have one shot, 1.25 at William Hill and as low as 1.1 with Paddy Power and Betfair, showing that this bet is outstanding value.

Sky Bet’s price implies a probability of 61.9% that Nmecha will have at least 1 shot, yet recent history shows that at home, the 24-year-old often gets efforts away on goal.

Nmecha has had 1 shot in 5 of his last 6 appearances at home in the Bundesliga for Dortmund. That is 83.3% of matches over that period. He has 1.13 shots per 90 over this period.

Since earning himself a place as a first-team regular in Matchday 8, he has barely missed any minutes in the Bundesliga. He has played the duration of each of the last 5 matches, maximising his opportunity to get a shot against Leverkusen.

Dortmund are undefeated at home in the Bundesliga and should be more competitive in this game than their odds of around 2.7 suggest. This means that they collectively should enjoy a reasonable shot count.