Cole Palmer looks a strong price to pick up a couple of fouls when Chelsea travel to Tottenham in a London derby on Sunday, with Betfair offering as much as 1.62 on this market. This compares to 1.44 at Sky Bet.

Betfair’s price implies that there is a 61.9% chance of Palmer being fouled on at least 2 occasions, yet the England attacking midfielder has been winning free-kicks for fun since the September international break.

He has been fouled at least twice in 8 of his last 11 matches, which works out at 72.7% of games. This figure rises to 83.3% of games since mid-September when only away games are considered, including trips to Liverpool and Manchester United.

Tottenham’s likely central midfielders to police Palmer all post significant foul counts this season. Dejan Kulusevski (1.61 fouls per 90), Pape Matar Sarr (1.87) and Yves Bissouma (1.23) will all operate in his area of the field, suggesting there are free-kicks there to be won.

The nature of this game being a derby match could push the foul count from Tottenham higher than usual. Last term, Spurs averaged 11.2 fouls per Premier League match but committed 28 in total in their two fixtures with the Blues.