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Everton v Liverpool
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Kick Off: Wednesday 12th February at 19:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 1
A rescheduled Merseyside derby takes place at a crucial point in the season. League leaders Liverpool travel to their local rivals knowing that all 3 points could be massive in the context of the title race with victory taking them 9 points clear of chasing Arsenal. They enter this game on the back of a rare loss in the FA Cup to Plymouth Argyle but the stars rested for that tie are all expected back here so it’s not a loss to read too much into.
David Moyes has brought some much needed optimism to Goodison Park, the Toffees have won 3 of his first 5 games in charge which is as many victories as they managed in the previous 13 games under Sean Dyche. These recent results have eased any relegation fears with Everton now 9 points clear of the drop zone. A visit from their local rivals is likely to create a raucous atmosphere inside Goodison Park with the Merseyside Derby often being a fiery and memorable encounter.
⭐ Everton v Liverpool Best Bet
Ndiaye is easily Everton’s biggest attacking threat, the Toffees have struggled for consistency in the final third but Ndiaye is often the spark for Everton. He’s scored 6 goals across his 23 Premier League appearances this season making him Everton’s top goalscorer this campaign whilst averaging 1.89 fouls won per 90.
Ndiaye has won at least 1 foul in each of his last 5 games in the Premier League this season, he’s managed to win 2+ fouls in 4 of these games which further emphasises how effective Ndiaye can be when travelling with the ball. Ndiaye is also averaging 2.81 successful dribbles per 90 in the Premier League which supports his fouls won numbers this campaign.
With Trent Alexander-Arnold expected to miss this derby due to injury, Ndiaye will line up against Conor Bradley. Bradley is averaging 1.42 fouls committed per 90 across his 9 Premier League appearances this season, it’s worth noting that just 1 of these games have been from the start and this hostile environment could prove a challenge for the young full back who is certainly more defensively robust compared than Alexander-Arnold.
🔵 Everton v Liverpool ABC Exclusive Boost
Liverpool have collected 48 yellow cards across their 23 Premier League games this season (2.08 per game). They’ve collected 2+ cards in 14 of their 23 Premier League fixtures this campaign (61%). Liverpool were shown 3 yellow cards in this fixture last season.
Alexis Mac Allister is averaging 2.31 fouls committed per 90 across his 22 Premier League appearances this season, he’s committed at least 1 foul in each of his last 5 Premier League games with this total rising to 2+ in 4 of these matches. He’ll be up against Idrissa Gana Gueye who is averaging 1.48 fouls won per 90 across his 22 Premier League games this season.
Only Ashley Young and Jordan Pickford have collected more yellow cards for Everton than the 4 that Gueye has received this season. He’s averaging 1.64 fouls committed per 90 and will have the tough task of tracking Ryan Gravenberch and Alexis Mac Allister who are averaging 2.88 fouls won per 90 between them in the Premier League this season.
👕 Everton v Liverpool Predicted XI
🔍 Everton v Liverpool Players to Watch
🔴 Mohamed Salah
Mohammed Salah is 1 of the most reliable players in the Premier League when it comes to backing a player to find the target. He’s averaging 2.04 shots on target per 90 across his 23 appearances in the English top-flight this season. This record has produced 21 goals for the 32-year-old who has seen 51% of his total attempts find the target this campaign. Salah has had at least 1 shot on target in each of his last 5 Premier League appearances and has managed 2+ shots on target in 12 of his 23 Premier League games this season (52%).
🔴 Ryan Gravenberch
Gravenberch has arguably been Liverpool’s most important player this season, the majority of the plaudits go to Salah and Virgil van Dijk but Gravenberch has been just as crucial in helping Arne Slot’s side maintain control in games, as well as progress the ball through the thirds. His role in the team and position on the pitch naturally invites fouls from the opposition. He’s averaging 1.45 fouls won per 90 across his 23 Premier League appearances this season and will line up against Idrissa Gueye who is averaging 1.64 fouls committed per 90 across his 22 Premier League appearances this campaign.
🔵 Jordan Pickford
Only Nottingham Forest and Liverpool have kept more clean sheets in the Premier League than the 9 Everton have managed this campaign. Jordan Pickford is a massive part of this record, he’s averaging 3.0 saves per game in the top-flight but we can expect that to rise here against the most dangerous attacking force in the Premier League. No team is generating more shots on target per game than Liverpool this season (6.9), Arne Slot’s side have drawn 4+ saves from the opposition keeper in 14 of their 23 Premier League games this season (61%), no side is testing the opposition goalkeeper more often than Liverpool who can continue with their relentless attacking approach in this derby.
📂 Everton v Liverpool Cheat Sheet
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💻 Everton v Liverpool Form and Tactics
- This Merseyside Derby could easily turn into an attack v defence scenario with Liverpool creating the majority of the chances and Everton attempting to make the game as scrappy as possible, to stifle Liverpool’s momentum. However, derby games usually have an extra element to them which we saw last season where Everton effectively ended Liverpool’s title hopes with an unexpected 2-0 win over their local rivals. Everton do have some momentum heading into this game which could make this more of a contest than the odds suggest with Liverpool heavy favourites to leave Goodison Park with all 3 points.
- David Moyes hasn’t changed too much from Sean Dyche’s approach, it’s clear that the returning manager has identified where the strengths are in this team. Everton are very organised at the back, they’ve kept 9 clean sheets in the Premier League this season which is a record only bettered by their opponents here and Nottingham Forest. Goodison Park is still a tough place to visit for any side as evidenced by the fact Everton have only conceded 13 goals on home turf this season, a record that puts them in the top 5 of the Premier League for home defensive records.
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- Liverpool line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, the midfield 2 of Alexis Mac Allister and Gravenberch will be crucial to Liverpool’s chances of a victory here with the pair usually being quite press-resistant. They face up against an Everton trio of Abdoulaye Doucoure, Gueye and James Garner who will be instructed to be aggressive and limit space for the Liverpool double pivot to ensure that they don’t wrestle control of the game. Liverpool’s approach is all about control under Arne Slot, everything is done at the right time which feeds into their excellent game management in the Premier League this season.
- Arne Slot’s half time tweaks have really stood out this season, Liverpool can start really slowly and often struggle to find answers in the early exchanges of games but Slot comes into his own at half time, offering tactical instructions to his side which usually pay dividends. This is something that goes right back to the first game of the Premier League season where Jarell Quansah was hooked after 45 minutes against Ipswich as Slot thought that Liam Delap was getting too much joy against the young centre back. Slot switched Quansah for Ibrahima Konate and the threat of Delap was neutralised, Liverpool went on to win the game 2-0 which set the tone for their season.
🏁 Everton v Liverpool Ref Watch
- Referee – Michael Oliver
- Expect extra tension in this game as it is as Merseyside Derby, both teams are averaging 2.08 yellow cards per game in the Premier League this season.
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.72 / 0.17 |
| Fouls Given | 22.33 |
| Penalties | 0.06 |
📺 How to Watch Everton v Liverpool in the Premier League
📅 When is Everton v Liverpool? / Wednesday, 12th February 2025, 19:30
🏟 Where is Everton v Liverpool? / Goodison Park (Liverpool)
📺 What TV Channel is Everton v Liverpool on? / TNT Sports 1
🟨 …And who is the referee for Everton v Liverpool? / Michael Oliver 🏴
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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