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Do England Have A Kind Euro 2024 Knockout Stages Draw?
After navigating their way through the treacherous group stages, 16 remaining nations will battle it out in an effort to bring home European glory. With plenty of heavyweights still in contention accompanied by some unexpected wildcard sides, there’s still plenty of drama to follow in this years Euros which has certainly been amplified by the draw for the knockouts.
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This guide will provide detailed expert analysis into the Euro 2024 knockout draw and how you can take advantage of the draw in your bets. Lets get into it …
🏴 England’s Journey to European Glory
Euro 2024 might have started with England and Gareth Southgate on the back foot, but the way the draw has opened up presents another invitation for the Three Lions to go deep in the tournament.
Among the other pre-competition favourites, not a single one is in England’s half of the knockout draw. Instead, Germany, France, Portugal, Spain and Belgium have all landed in the same half, which promises to be gruelling and thrilling in equal measure. It is a huge slice of luck given the lacklustre performances of Southgate’s side, who have generated just 2.2xG over their three matches to date.
England, watching on safely from the bottom half, have Slovakia first up; a team that progressed third in what was probably the weakest group.
A rematch of the Euro 2020 final will follow with Italy, assuming the Azzurri overcome Switzerland. That should not be taken for granted. The Swiss were a whisker away from beating Germany while Italy have been in poor form. Still, much the same could be said about England.
In the quarter above the Three Lions, Romania, Netherlands, Austria and Turkey will compete for the right to play in the semis.
Italy and the Netherlands may both reside in the top 10 of the FIFA Ranking, yet both are lucky to be in the competition. The Azzurri required the latest of goals from Mattia Zaccagni to progress at the expense of Croatia; the Dutch slipped through in third after losing to Austria.
With none of these sides exactly bristling with the talent that England boast, the expectation is that Southgate should lead his troupe into another final. Regardless of performances so far, it would be a major disappointment if he were to fail.
🏆 Who can stop Southgate bringing it home?
Rangnick’s Austria look the biggest threat given the swagger they are currently playing with. After overcoming Poland and the Dutch, as well as pushing France close in their opening game, they are a threat not to be underestimated. They lost four of their first six under Rangnick, but have since suffered only two defeats in 19, scoring more than twice as many goals as their opponents in the process.
🏟️ The Other Side of the Draw
Predicting the outcome of the top half of the draw, meanwhile, is a minefield of uncertainty.
The last-16 ties have their clear favourites: Spain, Germany and Portugal will be expected to progress beyond Georgia, Denmark and Slovenia respectively, but things get trickier thereafter.
France should see off a dysfunctional and disenchanted Belgium, who were booed off by their own supporters following their unconvincing progression from the group stage, which sets up a probable quarter-final with Portugal in a likely repeat of the 2016 final. Spain and Germany, who cannot take victory for granted against Euro 2020 semi-finalists Denmark, are on a collision course at the top of the draw, meanwhile.
Predicting a winner from this quartet is no easy task. Each has its own strengths and weaknesses. France have the tournament knowhow, Portugal the explosive scoring power, Spain the vibrancy of youth and Germany command home advantage.
Julian Nagelsmann’s Germany side are arguably best placed to come out on top as their schedule is most favourable, but a valid case can be made for any of these teams in what promises to be a crapshoot.
And that, of course, leaves the final.
Should England get there, questions will arise over how they can cope against in-form, quality opponents, which is likely to be something they won’t have faced in Germany to that point.
Nevertheless, the situation has played into Southgate’s hands, and after being crucified in the early days of Euro 2024, there is still every chance he is deified come July 14.
* All odds displayed correctly at the time of publishing *
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