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Wolves v Man United
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Kick Off: Thursday 26th December at 17:30
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Competition: Premier League
Wolves made the perfect start to life under new coach Vitor Pereira with a resounding win at Leicester at the weekend. Can Wanderers deliver another knockout blow when they host Manchester United at Molineux on Boxing Day?
⭐ Wolves v Man United Best Bet
Manchester United’s substandard defending was exposed again on Sunday when they lost 3-0 at home to Bournemouth, taking their tally of conceded goals in 7 inside 2 games following their 4-3 defeat against Spurs in the Carabao Cup.
United have now conceded 17 times in 9 matches under Ruben Amorim, while 7 of their last 8 assignments have produced over 2.5 goals. Wolves looked sharper against struggling Leicester (3-0) at the weekend, however, Wanderers still have the league’s worst defensive record (40 conceded), so expect excitement and chances at both ends when they host United on Boxing Day.
🟢 Wolves v Man United #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Wolves forward Goncalo Guedes was deployed as one of the “number 10s” in Vitor Pereira’s new-look 3-4-2-1 formation against Leicester on Sunday and the 28-year-old made a major impact from his reworked position.
Guedes was a ball-carrying menace against the Foxes and finished the game with a goal and an assist. The Portuguese attacker, who has been averaging 1.32 shots on target per 90 this season, can be nuisance again from his changed position against United, so back Guedes to land another accurate attempt on Boxing Day.
Rasmus Hojlund, who scored in last season’s corresponding fixture at Molineux, has had 7 shots on target in his last 7 appearances for United, and the Dane can threaten Wanderers again here, while Bruno Fernandes, who clocked 7 shots and 3 attempts on target against Bournemouth at the weekend, also looks like a solid inclusion to test compatriot Jose Sa at least once.
Man Utd have been winning 5.06 and conceding 4.65 corners per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season, though a target of 4+ corners in both directions at Molineux looks like an achievable target here.
A hurdle of at least 2 cards each should also be cleared. Wolves have been picking up 2.41 cards per game this term and should play with heightened aggression in Vitor Pereira’s first fixture at Molineux, while United have been matching Wanderers for cards accumulated per game since August (2.41).
It’s also worth noting that last season’s clash between Wolves and United at Molineux produced 7 yellow cards and tempers could flare again in this Boxing Day rematch.
👕 Wolves v Man United Predicted XI
🔍 Wolves v Man United Players to Watch
🔴 Bruno Fernandes
Skipper Bruno Fernandes cut a frustrated figure in Man Utd’s limp showing against Bournemouth on Sunday and alongside some wasteful finishing, the 30-year-old midfielder was collared for 2 fouls.
Bruno has been committing 0.88 fouls per 90 minutes in the league this term, though the Portuguese star has given away at least 1 free kick in 7 of his last 9 appearances in all competitions and looks like superb value at 1.44 in that 1+ fouls bracket again here.
🟡 Goncalo Guedes
Portuguese forward Goncalo Guedes seemed to revel in a new role against Leicester on Sunday in Wolves’ new-look 3-4-2-1 system and the 28-year-old was fouled 3 times as the Foxes struggled to keep him restrained.
The technician, who has been fouled 1.84 times per 90 minutes in the Premier League since August, lodged a season-high 20 carries against Leicester at the weekend and his sharp close control could draw at least 2 mistimed challenges from his United markers.
📂 Wolves v Man United Cheat Sheet
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We’ve got plenty more in store for Boxing Day’s action, look out for our Nottingham Forest v Tottenham Betting Preview and Liverpool v Leicester City Bet Builder Predictions.
💻 Wolves v Man United Form and Tactics
Wolves were set up in a 3-4-2-1 formation in Victor Pereira’s first game in charge against Leicester, which should match up well against Rubem Amorim’s similar system at United.
Wanderers attempted 227 short passes against Leicester, which was one of their highest figures of the campaign, so expect them to adopt a considered approach again on Boxing Day.
Wolves defender Toti Gomes played a game-high 72 passes against Leicester on Sunday and the 25-year-old could be the Wanderers’ key distributor from the back again on Boxing Day.
United have won the xGF battle in 7 of their last 8 fixtures, despite losing 4 times along the way.
Man Utd had 43 shots combined to their opponents’ 18 in their back-to-back losses against Tottenham and Bournemouth this week.
United have failed to win 6 of their 8 Premier League away fixtures this season.
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🏁 Wolves v Man United Ref Watch
- Referee: Tony Harrington
- Tony Harrington brandished 7 yellows and 1 red card in his last Premier League fixture (Liverpool vs Fulham).
- EPL matches featuring Harrington this season have been averaging 22.38 fouls per fixture.
- Harrington sent a player off in each of his last 2 Premier League assignments.
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* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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