In Valverde’s 4 full matches at right back this season, typically a central or wide midfielder, which include 3 of his last 4 games, he has committed more fouls and had more shots on average than he has across the whole season.

The Uruguayan has had 10 shots in the 4 games, including 3 in the first leg, letting fly 2.5 times per game in the position, compared to his total season average of 1.53 shots per 90.

Valverde’s shots on target rate has gone to 0.75 per game, where it’s at 0.55 per 90 for the season. These have mainly been low probability efforts as the 10 total shots accumulate to only around 0.5 xG. He can shoot from anywhere for all we care with this bet.

This bet has landed in 3 of Valverde’s appearances at right back, flagging up 3.0 as a massive price – Paddy Power are the best price on the market for this selection.

The 26-year-old committed a foul in the first leg and is averaging 1.25 per game in the 4 games he’s had at RB this season, compared to 0.49 for the whole campaign. With a 1+ fouls bet landing on Valverde in 3 of his 4 appearances at RB.

The flow of the game could help this bet too with Real content digging in to see out the tie if necessary and breaking up play to do so. City may also look to buy fouls with their elite dribblers if they find themselves in a good position on aggregate.

Valverde had 4 shots in last year’s quarter-final tie against City and committed a foul in each leg.

4.64 is a nice price to get onside for the second leg, without needing to rely on the result going a certain way in what could be a very chaotic encounter at the Bernabeu.