Chermiti has cut a frustrating figure for Rangers this season as he has struggled to live up to his big-money price tag for long periods before flashing into life in the biggest games of the season. The former Everton striker has 12 goals in the league this term, 4 of which came via a couple of braces against Celtic and 3 more of which were scored against Hearts when these sides last met.

No Rangers player has managed more shots on target than the 21-year-old in league play this term, and his price to score looks particularly healthy given he has 1.73 shots on target per 90. Indeed, this is the best figure in the whole of the Premiership by quite a distance.

His shooting stats have been particularly good in recent games as he has chalked up 3 shots on target in each of his last 3 outings. He has at least 2 shots on target – available at 2.75 – in 6 of his last 9 appearances. On top of this, he has 3 goals, surely guaranteeing him a start as Rangers’ in-form striker and making him a strong candidate to find the target again.

Craig Halkett has always been a commanding figure at the heart of Hearts' backline, and Monday's meeting with Rangers feels like the perfect stage for another combative showing. The centre-half has averaged 1.13 fouls per 90 in the Scottish Premiership this season, but his foul and card record sharpens noticeably when the tempo rises in bigger games. Already sitting on 9 yellows, Halkett has a well-documented habit of overstepping the mark when tested by pacey, dynamic forward lines.

Rangers' attackers have drawn a combined 3.2 fouls per 90 across their last five away outings, which means Halkett will be continually pulled into isolated duels where a split-second misjudgement is all it takes. Recent form only adds weight to the case. He's picked up bookings in two of his last five starts, Monday's game carries real significance in the title picture, and the appointed referee has averaged 4.2 cards per match this season - all of which makes backing Halkett to commit a foul a solid angle for this leg of our treble.

Nicolas Raskin has often walked a disciplinary tightrope for Rangers this season, and his combative style could be central to the midfield battle once again. The Belgian has committed 2.09 fouls per 90 and picked up 7 yellow cards in the league, a total that highlights his aggressive approach. Notably, in the most recent head-to-head meeting, he committed 2+ fouls, underlining a trend that tends to emerge in the most physical fixtures.

No Rangers midfielder has walked the line quite like the 25-year-old, and his foul lines look particularly healthy given the threat posed by the opposition. Hearts’ key midfield operator in Claudio Braga averages 1.67 fouls won per 90, suggesting Raskin will have ample opportunity to engage in the sort of scrappy duels that often result in a whistle. Indeed, across the Scottish Premiership this term, his willingness to contest loose balls has made him a regular feature in the referee's book.

His recent run of form further bolsters the case. Raskin has committed at least 2 fouls in six of his last nine appearances. Given the intensity of the occasion and the specific matchup in the middle of the park, backing him to make his presence felt is a strong angle.

This is quite a low line, and Everton managed to cover it when the sides clashed at the Etihad earlier on in the campaign - registering exactly three corners. 

Set pieces have always been one of the main strengths of David Moyes’ sides and they have become the flavour of the Premier League this season with this campaign seeing more goals from set pieces than we have in each of the last 10 Premier League seasons. 

Everton are averaging 4.21 corners per game in the Premier League this season, a metric that jumps to 5.06 corners per game when looking at their games at the Hill Dickinson stadium. 

City are conceding 4.12 corners per game on the road in the Premier League, and there are bound to be moments where City look a little unsettled here given the pressure they are under following Arsenal’s comfortable win over Fulham on Saturday.

James Tarkowski and Erling Haaland have a bit of an ongoing rivalry which crops up whenever Everton play Manchester City. It’s not quite as heated as the animosity that exists between Gabriel and Haaland, which we saw flare up recently, but it’s still notable and I think the pair will be in each other’s faces again here.

Tarkowski committed a foul when these sides met earlier in the season, one of 26 fouls he’s committed across his 33 starts on the whole in the Premier League this season (0.79 per 90). This record has seen Tarkowski pick up six yellow cards, and he has committed a foul in three of his last five Premier League appearances.

Erling Haaland was fouled twice in City’s win over Everton earlier in the campaign, and has actually improved this part of his game this term with Haaland getting better at dropping in a bit deeper and linking up play for his teammates, as we can see from the seven goals he’s set up this term. Haaland is averaging 0.80 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League this season. 

Pep Guardiola has now found the perfect balance for his frontline having tinkered with it all season. Doku, Cherki, Semenyo and Haaland form a menacing front four that have all the attributes to cause opposition sides problems in a number of ways.

Semenyo and Haaland are usually the ones that end up finishing the moves that City put together, while Cherki and Doku focus on creating chances and space for those two. Semenyo has been one of the few wingers in the Premier League that can boast a decent goal tally this term, having netted 15 goals in the Premier League which is a tally only bettered by Igor Thiago and Erling Haaland himself.

He’s achieved this tally from 76 shots (2.42 per 90), seeing 38 of these efforts find the target (1.21 per 90). Semenyo has had a shot on target in two of his last five Premier League matches, which may not sound convincing - but his record across the season as a whole is much stronger.

Semenyo should get chances to find the target here against an Everton side who can be quite stubborn and conceded seven shots on target when the sides met earlier in the campaign.

Pep Guardiola’s record at the end of a season in the Premier League is a joke, and can’t be ignored even with Manchester City facing a much tougher test than Arsenal did over the weekend. Liverpool are probably the only side to actually know how it feels being in this situation, they constantly thought they had done enough but City kept coming back at them, even in the most unlikely circumstances.

Manchester City have won four of the last five head to head meetings between these sides, winning the last two to nil. They’re enjoying their best form of the season so far having won each of their last six matches, including beating the likes of Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal as well as progressing to the FA Cup final with victory over Southampton at Wembley last time out.

They face an Everton side that have only won one of their last five Premier League matches, losing each of their last two against Liverpool and West Ham. City have avoided defeat in 13 of their 17 away games this season, winning nine of these matches, and have notably scored the second most goals of any side away from home in the Premier League this season (28).