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Andy's EFL Accumulator @ 6.18

It feels as though the Bantams are just stalling a little bit at the moment, and in that situation, the place you don't want to go to is Sincil Bank.

Lincoln are powering their way to promotion as things stand. 10 matches unbeaten in League One, and winning seven of their last eight at home as well.

It is a formidable home record, but the data stands behind it too; they have won the xG battle in eight of their last ten matches at home.

Meanwhile, Bradford have lost three of their last four in the league, and three of their last four away from home in the league as well. Bradford are also running at a -0.28 xG differential per match away from home in the league as well, so they have a mountain to climb here.

Taking the draw no bet option also gives us a safety net of money back if Bradford are able to hold Lincoln.

Barnet have flattered to deceive somewhat so far this season, and they have failed to put runs together even when it looks as though they have the strength to move through the league.

They are still underperforming their xG by around 0.4 goals per match, but in winning three of their last four in the league, they are again back on the tails of the play-off positions, and this match comes along at the right time to build on a big win over Oldham.

In that match, they had only ten men and were level, so finding the character to go on and win in that situation should give them the mentality to take advantage of Tranmere's lack of form.

It is also worth mentioning that Barnet have a 0.8 xG differential per match at home, which is obviously a very dominant situation.

Tranmere have lost their last three, conceding nine goals in the process. It's also six defeats in eight league matches for Rovers, and there is nothing in the data to support a good result for them here either.

Tranmere's away xG differential is down at -0.41 xG per match, so even against an average-performing League Two team, they are struggling to get on top of the game, but against one of the most dominant home teams in the competition, this lookslike a good opportunity to back the home side.

This may seem an obvious pick, but there are genuine reasons to back Bromley here outside of the fact that they are top of the league.

Firstly, from a Crewe perspective, their away form is particularly troubling at the moment. Lee Bell's men have lost three in a row without scoring. Indeed, Crewe have only found the net in half of their away fixtures so far this season, and, surprisingly enough, they have lost over half of them too.

They are actually averaging 1.3 xG for per match away from home, but 3.25 xG at Tranmere is doing a lot of heavy lifting there. Despite that 1.3 xG figure, Crewe are still struggling with a -0.4 xG per match differential away from home, which demonstrates how regularly they struggle in away matches.

There aren't many more difficult tasks in League Two than going to Bromley, either. Seven home wins in a row now, and they only seem to be getting stronger. They have generated 2 xG or more in three of their last four matches, and they have won in different ways, coming back against fellow promotion contenders Swindon with a late winner last time will only give them more belief.

They are running at a +0.57 xG differential at home this season, so combined with Crewe's away record is around a whole goal's worth of chances in our favour according to performance data.

There comes a point where the investment of one club at a level simply begins to overpower their opponents.

The quality of players at the disposal of Paul Warne, who, lest we forget, is a multiple promotion-winning manager at League One level himself, is getting to the level that they are already at least a League One level in terms of starting XI and depth of squad. However, it would be fair to say that many observers might have expected to see a higher level of performance than we have seen already this season.

They are nine unbeaten at home in the league, but it is the results in the last two matches, since adding the likes of Ben Wiles to the XI, that have been a bit more convincing.

This bet is also about Bristol Rovers, as well, though. The financial budget behind the Pirates and the management of Steve Evans seems to be a combination that should guide them to safety, but it certainly hasn't been impressive so far.

They only generated 0.26 xG against Salford at the weekend in a third defeat in a row. It was their third blank in front of goal in four League Two matches, and it seems like Evans might need some help in the final week of the window.

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Andy’s Bet Club - Free Expert Sports Betting Tips 2025

Andy’s Bet Club is a valuable sports betting tool, designed to help you make smarter and safer betting decisions ahead of the 25/26 sporting calendar.

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Andy’s Bet Club Betting Tips

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Who is Andy Robson?

Andy Robson is the UK’s leading football tipster. He has a massive following of over 900,000 people on social media and thousands of monthly website users here at Andy’s Bet Club.

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Follow Andy on X and Instagram, and visit his author page on Andy’s Bet Club to learn more. You can also keep up with Andy Robson’s acca tips here on ABC.