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Leeds face Burnley at Elland Road this weekend, knowing that a win would pretty much retain their Premier League status for next season.
If you're having a bet on Friday here are the best free bets and offers to claim ahead of kick-off:
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How To Claim £150 in Free Bets on Leeds v Burnley
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Leeds v Burnley Match Preview
Leeds United host Burnley at Elland Road on Saturday in a fixture that could effectively secure the hosts' top-flight status for another season. Daniel Farke's side came into the week on a seven-match unbeaten run in the league, a stretch that included a 2-1 win at Old Trafford against Manchester United, though that momentum was checked by an FA Cup semi-final defeat to Chelsea in midweek. Six points above the bottom 3, Leeds have plenty of incentive to return to winning ways quickly.
Burnley arrive having already been relegated, with Scott Parker's side winning just once since October and taking only 2 points from their last 8 league matches. Their away form has been among the worst in the division all season, and the mood in the visiting camp is unlikely to be high. With nothing meaningful to play for, the Clarets look an obliging opponent for a Leeds side that has been solid at Elland Road, losing just 5 of 17 home games this term.
In terms of corners markets, Leeds averaged 5.67 corners per game at home this season and have earned 5 or more in each of their last 6 home matches. Against Wolves in their last home outing, they registered 17 shots and 7 big chances worth 2.82 xG from a dominant performance. Burnley have conceded an average of 5.97 corners per game in the league this season, rising to 6.24 away from home.
In the cards markets, Zian Flemming is averaging 2.49 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season, a figure that rises to 3.31 in away games, having committed 2 or more fouls in each of his last 6 successive away appearances. Bashir Humphreys has committed 13 fouls this season, 5 of which have resulted in yellow cards. Jaidon Anthony has recorded 6 fouls across 3 appearances against Leeds and has committed at least 1 foul in 12 of his last 14 away starts.
For individual shots markets, Noah Okafor is averaging 2.6 shots per 90 across all competitions and has scored in back-to-back games against Manchester United and Wolves. He converts 42% of his efforts on target in the league this season. Pascal Struijk is averaging 1.18 shots per 90 at Elland Road - a high figure for a centre back - and registered 2 shots in the reverse fixture against Burnley.
Leeds are likely to line up in a 3-5-2 shape, with Jaka Bijol stepping in at centre back if Joe Rodon misses out. Burnley are expected to mirror that structure, with Humphreys at the heart of a back 3 and Ward-Prowse starting in midfield in the absence of the injured Josh Cullen.
How To Get Your Free Bets on Leeds v Burnley
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Each selection has been taken from our Leeds v Burnley Bet Builder.
Leeds to Win - 1.36
Leeds enter this fixture with strong recent form, having gone unbeaten in seven matches including a 2-1 victory at Old Trafford, and have only lost five home games all season
Burnley have little motivation having already been relegated, winning just once since October and suffering 12 defeats in 17 away games — the worst away record in the league
The home advantage at Elland Road gives Leeds a clear edge against a passive, out-of-form travelling side with nothing left to play for
Leeds Over 5.5 Corners - 1.6
Leeds average 5.67 corners per home game this season, and their attacking, progressive style at Elland Road consistently generates corner opportunities
Against Wolves in their last home outing, Leeds racked up 17 shots, 7 big chances and 5 corners despite leading 2-0 early, showing they keep pushing regardless of the scoreline
Burnley concede an average of 5.97 corners per game in the league, rising to 6.24 away from home, making this a favourable matchup for Leeds to exceed the 5.5 threshold
Zian Flemming 2+ Fouls - 1.33
Flemming averages 2.49 fouls per 90 overall this season, but that figure jumps to 3.31 in away games, where he has landed this selection in each of his last six away appearances
His fouls tend to be soft rather than cynical, meaning he has only picked up one booking in that six-game stretch, suggesting he won't be cautious about fouling again
Leeds' strong home possession game creates the ideal conditions for Flemming to rack up infringements, and he already committed two fouls in the reverse fixture
Bashir Humphreys 1+ Foul - 1.4
Humphreys has committed 13 fouls this season, but five have resulted in yellow cards — an unusually high cynical-foul rate that makes the booking market particularly appealing
He tends to make last-ditch challenges when caught out of position, a habit that will be tested by a Leeds side expected to play with a front-footed, attacking approach at home
His likely matchup against the physical Calvert-Lewin and the dynamic Okafor means Humphreys faces a demanding afternoon defensively, increasing the likelihood of at least one infringement
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