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Bundesliga
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Frankfurt

Frankfurt

Saturday
Stuttgart

Stuttgart

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Football

Rob's Bundesliga Final Day Goals Accumulator ⚽🇩🇪 @ 7.30

What a game this is set to be. Both sides need three points - Frankfurt need a win and for Freiburg to slip up; and they do have a tough test against Leipzig, to then grab a Conference League place.

Stuttgart know that a win guarantees them a place in the Champions League, regardless of what goes on around them, unless Hoffenheim were to somehow also swing a five goal deficit in their favour.

These two rank in the top three for average match goals, with Frankfurt producing a staggering 3.70 per game and Stuttgart averaging 3.52 per match. Only Bayern can top them. Bayern are also the only side to have scored more goals than Stuttgart.

Frankfurt games have landed for over 2.5 backers in 67% of outings, with BTTS landing in 73%. For Stuttgart, those numbersare 73% and 61%.

Data is strong, the situation is even stronger. Goals should flow.

The situation is king here. This is a straight shootout for relegation. The loser here will be relegated to the Bundesliga.2, and if they draw, they could both go down as Heidenheim could nip in above them.

The loser will still have to take part in the relegation play-off, but that at least gives them a chance of getting out.

So, both need a result, and if we are in a situation where Heidenheim are winning, then both need to go all out for a win. The game could be poised very finely at numerous times.

As for the stats, they look strong, especially on the Wolfsburg side of things.

Wolfsburg games have averaged 3.33 goals and a hefty 64% have seen over 2.5 goals with 73% seeing BTTS.

St Pauli aren’t as entertaining with an average of 2.58 and hit rates of 55% in both over 2.5 and BTTS categories, but the situation should be enough to guarantee some goals.

This selection also landed in the reverse fixture.

Despite being sixth, Leverkusen still have a chance to get into the Champions League. They’ve got a better goal difference than Stuttgart and Hoffenheim, who sit above them, so a loss for those two and a win for Leverkusen would see them finish fourth. It’s a big ask, but it’s possible.

Hamburg are on the beach after a successful return to the Bundesliga after numerous failures at late stages in recent years.

Leverkusen have netted 37 times in their 16 home matches this season and possess plenty of firepower in forward areas, including 16 goal Patrick Schick, who is the third top scorer in the Bundesliga this season.

Hamburg have shipped 53 goals in the Bundesliga this season, and 31 of them have come on the road where they’ve managed just three wins this season; it’s been their excellent home form that’s given them a steady place in the table.

The situation is the key angle again here. Hoffenheim need a win to guarantee themselves Champions League football, so there’s no chance of them sitting back, which isn’t something they tend to do anyway.

On the flip side, Gladbach have absolutely nothing to play for. Their season is effectively over. They can finish a few places higher or lower than where they are, but there’s not much motivation.

As for the numbers, Hoffenheim’s attacking output has been excellent all season. They’ve scored 65 goals in 33 Bundesliga matches.

Their away form has also been superb, with the third-best away record in the league. 

Given the stakes for Hoffenheim and the lack of pressure on Gladbach, it’s a good set up for goals from the away side.

Asslani and Kramaric have also formed a formidable partnership, producing 24 goals and 13 assists between them in what has been a really strong season for Hoffenheim.

Heidenheim simply have to win if they want to give themselves a chance of staying in the Bundesliga. They’re level on points with Wolfsburg and St Pauli, who play each other, so there’s a huge opportunity here if that game ends level.

Even if there is a winner in that match, Heidenheim could still climb above one of them on goal difference. They’d need to swing a few goals, but it’s definitely possible, especially if neither side runs away with victory in the other crunch match.

Heidenheim matches have averaged a huge 3.36 goals per game this season, and 70% of their Bundesliga matches have seen over 2.5 goals land.

Mainz may not have loads to play for, but their games have still been entertaining. Their matches average 2.88 goals, while 55% have gone over the 2.5 line.

This selection also landed in the reverse fixture.

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Yes - Both Teams to Score

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