Since Rob Edwards took charge at Wolves, Hugo Bueno has been a mainstay at left wing back and has consistently been forcing late contact. The Spaniard averages 1.3 fouls won per 90 under Edwards and has been brought down 17 times in 14 league starts across that sample, landing this bet in 12 of those.

Bueno’s direct matchup looks likely to be with Jayden Bogle, who is used to the sound of the referee’s whistle as he’s committed 16 infringements across his last nine Premier League starts. Leeds’ right wing back averages 1.26 fouls per 90, and with left-sided defenders facing him fouled 11 times in the home side’s last nine matches, this looks a strong angle.

Another defender who has regularly found himself in shooting range is Leeds’ James Justin, who has had at least one shot in 10 of his last 13 league starts, firing off 18 attempts in that period. The full back has been the beneficiary of Daniel Farke’s move to a back five, meaning he’s often deployed as a wing back and given far more freedom to get into the final third. 

Wolves’ concession of 16.2 shots per game on the road under Rob Edwards makes them ideal opponents to take on. Wolves are all but relegated, and their 4-0 reverse at West Ham last time out showed how easily they fold under pressure, something that Leeds will look to impose upon them from the first whistle at Elland Road.

Man United were in a rich vein of form since Michael Carrick took charge, but the Red Devils were halted in their tracks on Monday night, losing against rivals Leeds at Old Trafford.

It was far from a smash-and-grab, as the visitors generated plenty of chances and could have easily scored more. Leeds raced to a 2-0 lead within the opening 30 minutes, and they racked up 15 shots worth 2.57 xG in the match, while conceding just 1.27 xG from the hosts in return. 

That was a massive three points in the context of the survival race, and Leeds will be confident of making it back-to-back wins. They have been much more effective at picking up points at Elland Road this season, with six wins coming from their 16 home league fixtures, compared to just two wins from 16 on the road.

Wolves have also been poor on their travels, and they have failed to win any of their 16 Premier League away matches this campaign.

They were most recently beaten 4-0 by West Ham, as centre back Konstantinos Mavropanos bagged a brace against them from corners. Wolves clearly have a weakness when it comes to dealing with crosses, and Leeds should look to target that. 

Leeds are averaging 4.5 corners per game in the Premier League this season, rising to 5.56 when playing at Elland Road. They like to utilise width in their attacks, and they tend to be more front-footed on home turf. Wolves usually struggle to exert control on their games, especially when playing away, so it could be one-way traffic here.

Farke will know the importance of securing another three points here, so his side should be attack-minded, and that makes Leeds corners a target.

Leeds have a solid record for generating corners at home, and Wolves have shown a clear vulnerability when balls are lumped in the box, so naturally, the Leeds big men are of interest. Jaka Bijol has been a key figure at the back for Leeds this season, and his importance has only increased further since Joe Rodon picked up an injury. 

The Slovenian international is averaging 0.76 shots per 90 across all competitions this season, and that figure slightly increases to 0.88 when he plays at Elland Road. Bijol has landed this selection in six of his last ten appearances for Leeds, notably including all three in which Rodon was absent.

Without the Welshman, Bijol seems to be the primary target from set-piece situations, which is encouraging. To make matters worse for Wolves, Yerson Mosquera will be suspended for this clash, which is yet another blow for the visitors, improving Bijols’ prospects going forward.

Joao Gomes registered just one foul in the reverse fixture against Leeds at Molineux, but he ended that game with four tackles to his name and was dribbled past three times, underlining how involved he was on the defensive front.

The 24-year-old is one of the most intense midfielders in the Premier League when it comes to pressing, and he ranks second out of all players for total fouls committed, only behind Igor Thiago. Gomes is averaging 2.15 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season, rising to an eye-catching 2.42 when playing away.

With Leeds expected to dominate proceedings at Elland Road, Gomes should have plenty of duels to get through. Both Manuel Ugarte and Casemiro recorded exactly two fouls against Farke’s men last time out, highlighting how this is a solid matchup to target the Brazilian.