Turkey have not yet recovered from their bitterly disappointing World Cup campaign, and have been brushed aside with ease in their Nations League A group with France, Italy and Belgium.

They have conceded 11 goals in four games, 2.75 per game, Belgium covered this bet in the reverse fixture, winning 3-0, while unconvincing Italy beat them 4-1 (in Turkey) and 3-1.

Belgium have covered this bet in both of their Nations League games that didn't come against France, winning 2-0 impressively in Italy - generating 2.76 xG in that outing.

They also showed some serious firepower at the World Cup, scoring five v New Zealand, three v Senegal and four v USA before going out 2-1 to eventual winners Spain - they were the only side to score against Spain in the tournament.

Belgium could be worth backing on the nose at just under evens, but I'm more comfortable siding with their attacking contingent to find the net twice or more against a Turkey side with little to play for and a vulnerable backline.

Belgium need to win to enhance their chances of progression, one point behind 2nd-placed Italy with two to play.